Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 25/07, 01:00
Prediction: Internacional (W) vs Fluminense RJ (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Internacional (W)1.35
Fluminense RJ (W)0.8
1X2
Internacional (W)
Draw
Fluminense RJ (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Fluminense RJ (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional (W)
1–2–0
Fluminense RJ (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional (W) 1531 · Fluminense RJ (W) 1493
| Internacional (W) | Draw | Fluminense RJ (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional (W) | Fluminense RJ (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional (W) 1–2–0 Fluminense RJ (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/25 Copa do Brazil Women | Internacional (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fluminense RJ (W) |
| 12/04/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Fluminense RJ (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional (W) |
| 21/03/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Internacional (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fluminense RJ (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians (W) | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo (W) | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Flamengo (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro (W) | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 21 |
| 8 | Internacional (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 9 | Gremio (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Bragantino (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
| 11 | Fluminense RJ (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | Santos (W) | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | EC Juventude (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | Mixto EC (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 7 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 6 |
| 17 | America MG (W) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 6 |
| 18 | Botafogo (W) | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Internacional (W) | Fluminense RJ (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Bahia (W) | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Santos (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| EC Juventude (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cruzeiro (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Mixto EC (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fluminense RJ (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Coritiba (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Gremio (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Fluminense RJ (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Cruzeiro (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Minas Brasilia DF (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 26/03 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional (W) vs Fluminense RJ (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Internacional (W) 49%, draw 29%, Fluminense RJ (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional (W) vs Fluminense RJ (W)?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Internacional (W) 1.35 · Fluminense RJ (W) 0.8), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional (W) vs Fluminense RJ (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.