Football · Norway Eliteserien · 18/07, 20:00

Prediction: Viking FK vs Sandefjord

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Viking FK2.47
Sandefjord0.83
1X2
73% 17% 10%
Viking FK Draw Sandefjord
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Viking FK 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWDL
Sandefjord 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLWWLDLD
Head-to-head
Viking FK 6–0 Sandefjord (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking FK 1594 · Sandefjord 1495
Viking FKDrawSandefjord
Our model72%18%10%
Market73%17%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (rating 1594 vs 1495).
  • H2H favours Viking FK: 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Viking FKSandefjord
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 0.91.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.60.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.93.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK 600 Sandefjord

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/08/25
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord1-2
HT 1-0
Viking FK
16/05/25
Norway Eliteserien
Viking FK3-1
HT 0-0
Sandefjord
02/11/24
Norway Eliteserien
Viking FK3-2
HT 2-2
Sandefjord
20/05/24
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord0-3
HT 0-1
Viking FK
24/09/23
Norway Eliteserien
Viking FK4-3
HT 2-2
Sandefjord
13/05/23
Norway Eliteserien
Sandefjord1-2
HT 1-1
Viking FK

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tromso 14842 221428
2 Viking FK 11902 291127
3 Bodo/Glimt 12822 301126
4 Lillestrom 12714 191122
5 Molde 12624 201520
6 Ham-Kam 11533 191818
7 Sarpsborg 12525 141617
8 SK Brann 13517 262116
9 Sandefjord 12435 121515
10 Fredrikstad 12426 152214
11 Valerenga 12426 132114
12 Aalesund 12264 172212
13 Rosenborg 12336 121812
14 KFUM 12336 121912
15 Kristiansund BK 12327 112111
16 IK Start 13148 14307

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentViking FKSandefjord
Kristiansund BK 2-1 W 2-0 W
KFUM 2-0 W 2-1 W
Rosenborg 3-0 W 0-0 D
Fredrikstad 2-1 W 1-1 D
SK Brann 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking FK

WWWWWWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 42 L
03/07 Sonderjyske
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-1 D
24/05 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-1 46 W
16/05 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
1-3 6-3 125 W
10/05 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 63 W
01/05 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 3-0 75 W
25/04 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-1 62 W
18/04 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 3-2 65 W
11/04 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 5-0 33 W
06/04 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 55 W

Sandefjord

WWDLWWLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Ham-Kam
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-2 44 D
30/05 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-2 104 L
25/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 65 D
16/05 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-3 35 L
10/05 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 63 W
03/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-0 84 W
26/04 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 1-3 60 L
18/04 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 74 D
12/04 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 23 W
07/04 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking FK vs Sandefjord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK win (73%). Probabilities: Viking FK 73%, draw 17%, Sandefjord 10%.

How many goals are expected in Viking FK vs Sandefjord?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Viking FK 2.47 · Sandefjord 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking FK vs Sandefjord?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.