Football · Norway Eliteserien · 26/07, 14:30
Prediction: SK Brann vs Valerenga
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
SK Brann2.24
Valerenga1.45
1X2
SK Brann
Draw
Valerenga
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Brann
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Valerenga
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Brann
5–1
Valerenga
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Brann 1508 · Valerenga 1494
| SK Brann | Draw | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SK Brann: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Brann | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 5–0–1 Valerenga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | SK Brann | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Valerenga |
| 03/05/25 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 2-4 HT 0-2 | SK Brann |
| 22/03/25 Europe Friendlies | SK Brann | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Valerenga |
| 27/02/24 Europe Friendlies | SK Brann | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Valerenga |
| 08/10/23 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 1-2 HT 1-1 | SK Brann |
| 12/07/23 Norway Cup | Valerenga | 3-2 HT 1-2 | SK Brann |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Brann | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | Ham-Kam | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 17 |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | KFUM | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 16 | IK Start | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Brann | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| IK Start | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Kristiansund BK | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Sarpsborg | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Aalesund | 1-2 L | 6-1 W |
| KFUM | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Fredrikstad | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tromso | 5-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Brann
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Kristiansund BK Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Valerenga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | GAIS Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Goteborg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs Valerenga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Brann win (54%). Probabilities: SK Brann 54%, draw 22%, Valerenga 23%.
How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs Valerenga?
The model expects 3.69 goals (SK Brann 2.24 · Valerenga 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Valerenga?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.