Prediction: Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
| Rosenborg | Draw | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 27% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1516 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Rosenborg: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosenborg | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosenborg 2–2–1 Fredrikstad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/25 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rosenborg |
| 05/04/25 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 27/07/24 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Rosenborg |
| 02/06/24 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fredrikstad |
| 01/05/24 Norway Cup | Fredrikstad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rosenborg |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Brann | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | Ham-Kam | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 17 |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 14 |
| 13 | KFUM | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 16 | IK Start | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosenborg | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| IK Start | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bodo/Glimt | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Lillestrom | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| SK Brann | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sandefjord | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosenborg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Molde Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
Fredrikstad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Valerenga Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Elfsborg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Ham-Kam Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosenborg win (53%). Probabilities: Rosenborg 53%, draw 26%, Fredrikstad 22%.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Rosenborg 1.67 · Fredrikstad 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.