Football · Norway Eliteserien · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Sandefjord0.96

Bodo/Glimt2.23

1X2

14% 20% 66%

Sandefjord Draw Bodo/Glimt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Sandefjord 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDLDL

Bodo/Glimt 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Sandefjord 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandefjord 1477 · Bodo/Glimt 1592

	Sandefjord	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
Our model	14%	21%	65%
Market	15%	19%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1477 vs 1592).
H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandefjord	Bodo/Glimt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	2.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	3.1 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

16.25

X4.75

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)2.00

2 (-1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +1’	6.25	4.75	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 1–1–4 Bodo/Glimt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/25 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	1-2 HT 0-0	Bodo/Glimt
12/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	2-0 HT 0-0	Sandefjord
13/07/24 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	2-1 HT 1-0	Bodo/Glimt
29/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	1-1 HT 1-1	Sandefjord
21/10/23 Norway Eliteserien	Bodo/Glimt	4-3 HT 4-2	Sandefjord
23/07/23 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	2-5 HT 2-3	Bodo/Glimt

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tromso	15	9	4	2	26	15	31
2	Viking FK	12	10	0	2	31	12	30
3	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	31	11	29
4	Lillestrom	13	8	1	4	21	12	25
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	21	17	20
6	SK Brann	14	6	1	7	28	22	19
7	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	20	22	18
8	Sarpsborg	13	5	3	5	14	16	18
9	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	19	22	17
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	15	18	15
11	Sandefjord	13	4	3	6	13	17	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15	23	14
13	KFUM	13	3	3	7	13	21	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	18	28	12
15	Kristiansund BK	13	3	3	7	11	21	12
16	IK Start	14	1	4	9	14	33	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandefjord	Bodo/Glimt
Molde	1-2 L	4-1 W
Fredrikstad	1-1 D	1-0 W
Tromso	1-3 L	5-0 W
Rosenborg	0-0 D	2-2 D
SK Brann	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sandefjord

WDLWWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
30/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
25/05	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
16/05	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
10/05	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
03/05	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
26/04	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
18/04	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/04	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	2	3	W

Bodo/Glimt

WLDWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	12	5	W
12/07	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
28/06	Molde Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
29/05	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
24/05	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
20/05	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-1	4-1	5	1	W
16/05	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	5-0	4	2	W
09/05	SK Brann Norway Cup	1-2	2-2	8	4	D
04/05	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
30/04	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-0	5-0	13	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (66%). Probabilities: Sandefjord 14%, draw 20%, Bodo/Glimt 66%.

How many goals are expected in Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Sandefjord 0.96 · Bodo/Glimt 2.23), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.