Football · Mexico Liga MX · 26/07, 05:00

Prediction: Santos Laguna vs Atlas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Santos Laguna1.3
Atlas1.28
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Santos Laguna Draw Atlas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santos Laguna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLWWLL
Atlas 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDWDWLLW
Head-to-head
Santos Laguna 1–2–3 Atlas (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santos Laguna 1475 · Atlas 1500
Santos LagunaDrawAtlas
Our model36%29%35%
Market36%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atlas: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santos LagunaAtlas
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.60.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.71.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos Laguna 123 Atlas

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/04/26
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna0-1
HT 0-1
Atlas
14/09/25
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas2-2
HT 2-1
Santos Laguna
24/02/25
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna2-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
17/07/24
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas1-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
05/02/24
Mexico Liga MX
Atlas3-0
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
14/07/23
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna0-0
HT 0-0
Atlas

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Pachuca 110 303
2 Tijuana 110 313
3 Toluca 110 203
4 Atlas 110 323
4 Cruz Azul 110 323
4 Monterrey 110 323
7 Necaxa 110 213
8 Club America 110 103
8 Puebla 110 103
10 Atletico San Luis 101 230
10 Leon 101 230
10 Santos Laguna 101 230
13 Atlante 101 120
14 Juarez FC 101 010
14 Queretaro 101 010
16 Tigres UANL 101 130
17 Chivas Guadalajara 101 020
18 Unam Pumas 101 030

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantos LagunaAtlas
Monterrey 2-3 L 0-0 D
Club America 1-1 D 1-0 W
Chivas Guadalajara 0-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atlas (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santos Laguna

LWDLLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-3 2-3 50 L
10/07 America de Cali
America Friendlies
0-0 0-1 50 L
24/06 Annapolis Blues
America Friendlies
1-0 2-0 44 W
27/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 3-0 37 W
23/04 Atletico San Luis
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 65 L
20/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 58 L
12/04 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 2-4 13 L
05/04 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 34 D
23/03 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 2-1 116 W
15/03 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-3 47 L

Atlas

DLLDWDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-2 25 W
10/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-1 62 L
03/05 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-3 25 L
26/04 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 23 W
23/04 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 55 D
20/04 Santos Laguna
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-0 48 W
12/04 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 64 D
05/04 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-2 35 L
30/03 Chivas Guadalajara
America Friendlies
0-0 0-1 03 L
22/03 Queretaro
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 32 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santos Laguna vs Atlas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos Laguna win (36%). Probabilities: Santos Laguna 36%, draw 29%, Atlas 35%.

How many goals are expected in Santos Laguna vs Atlas?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Santos Laguna 1.3 · Atlas 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santos Laguna vs Atlas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.