Football · Mexico Liga MX · 03/08, 01:00
Prediction: Club America vs Santos Laguna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Club America2.24
Santos Laguna0.86
1X2
Club America
Draw
Santos Laguna
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Club America
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Santos Laguna
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club America
4–2–0
Santos Laguna
(6 last)
- Santos Laguna1-1Club America
- Club America3-0Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna1-4Club America
- Club America3-0Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna1-1Club America
- Club America4-3Santos Laguna
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club America 1545 · Santos Laguna 1448
| Club America | Draw | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1545 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Club America: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club America | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.8 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America 4–2–0 Santos Laguna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club America |
| 05/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Santos Laguna |
| 26/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Club America |
| 20/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Santos Laguna |
| 07/04/24 Mexico Liga MX | Santos Laguna | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club America |
| 22/10/23 Mexico Liga MX | Club America | 4-3 HT 3-2 | Santos Laguna |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Chivas Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Leon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club America
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 10 | W |
| 12/07 | LA Galaxy America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Jaiba Brava America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-3 | 3-3 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/04 | Nashville SC CONCACAF Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Santos Laguna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | America de Cali America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Annapolis Blues America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/04 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/03 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club America vs Santos Laguna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America win (68%). Probabilities: Club America 68%, draw 20%, Santos Laguna 12%.
How many goals are expected in Club America vs Santos Laguna?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Club America 2.24 · Santos Laguna 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Club America vs Santos Laguna?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.