Football · Mexico Liga MX · 02/08, 01:00

Prediction: Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Queretaro0.78
Tigres UANL1.41
1X2
20% 28% 52%
Queretaro Draw Tigres UANL
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queretaro 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWDDWL
Tigres UANL 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWWWWLDL
Head-to-head
Queretaro 1–2–3 Tigres UANL (6 last)
  • Tigres UANL0-0Queretaro
  • Queretaro0-2Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL1-0Queretaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queretaro 1503 · Tigres UANL 1531
QueretaroDrawTigres UANL
Our model19%30%51%
Market21%26%53%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tigres UANL: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

QueretaroTigres UANL
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.52.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.43.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queretaro 123 Tigres UANL

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/03/26
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL0-0
HT 0-0
Queretaro
29/09/25
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro0-2
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
08/03/25
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL1-0
HT 1-0
Queretaro
18/09/24
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro1-0
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
29/01/24
Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro1-1
HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
03/09/23
Mexico Liga MX
Tigres UANL5-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tijuana 2200 416
2 Cruz Azul 2200 536
3 Club America 2110 214
4 Pachuca 1100 303
5 Atlas 1100 323
5 Monterrey 1100 323
5 Toluca 2101 323
8 Necaxa 1100 213
9 Puebla 2101 223
10 Unam Pumas 2101 243
11 Atlante 2011 231
12 Atletico San Luis 1001 230
12 Santos Laguna 1001 230
14 Juarez FC 1001 010
14 Queretaro 1001 010
16 Leon 2002 240
17 Tigres UANL 1001 130
18 Chivas Guadalajara 1001 020

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQueretaroTigres UANL
Mazatlan FC 1-1 D 5-1 W
Necaxa 3-1 W 1-1 D
Toluca 1-0 W 0-0 D
Atlas 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Queretaro (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queretaro

LDDWDWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 210 L
25/04 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 2-1 122 W
22/04 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-1 24 D
18/04 Mazatlan FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-1 93 D
12/04 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 3-1 45 W
08/04 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 94 D
05/04 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-0 32 W
22/03 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 82 D
16/03 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 76 D
08/03 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 1-2 93 L

Tigres UANL

LDDWWWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-3 47 L
31/05 Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 0-0 73 D
10/05 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 15 L
06/05 Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
0-0 1-0 63 W
03/05 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/04 Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
1-0 1-0 44 W
26/04 Mazatlan FC
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 5-1 62 W
23/04 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 45 D
19/04 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 1-1 133 D
16/04 Seattle Sounders
CONCACAF Champions Cup
1-1 1-3 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL win (52%). Probabilities: Queretaro 20%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 52%.

How many goals are expected in Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Queretaro 0.78 · Tigres UANL 1.41), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.