Football · England National League North · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Worksop vs Kings Lynn Town

Team pages: Worksop · Kings Lynn Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Worksop1.44

Kings Lynn Town1.44

1X2

37% 27% 37%

Worksop Draw Kings Lynn Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Worksop 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWDD

Kings Lynn Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Worksop 1–3–0 Kings Lynn Town (4 last)

Kings Lynn Town0-1Worksop
Worksop2-2Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town0-0Worksop
Worksop1-1Kings Lynn Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worksop 1472 · Kings Lynn Town 1511

	Worksop	Draw	Kings Lynn Town
Our model	36%	27%	36%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Worksop	Kings Lynn Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11 +13’	2.45	3.40	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Worksop 1–3–0 Kings Lynn Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-1 HT 0-1	Worksop
21/10/25 England National League North	Worksop	2-2 HT 0-1	Kings Lynn Town
01/10/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Kings Lynn Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Worksop
28/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Worksop	1-1	Kings Lynn Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hereford FC	12	8	2	2	24	7	26
2	Oxford City	12	7	3	2	22	8	24
3	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18	11	24
4	South Shields	12	7	2	3	21	18	23
5	Kings Lynn Town	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
6	Hednesford	13	6	3	4	23	19	21
7	Chester	12	6	2	4	15	12	20
8	Buxton	13	6	2	5	23	23	20
9	Bedford Town	12	6	1	5	16	16	19
10	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18	23	19
11	Morecambe	12	5	2	5	18	12	17
12	Spalding United	12	5	2	5	14	11	17
13	Chorley	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
14	Worksop	13	5	2	6	15	20	17
15	Marine	12	5	1	6	14	13	16
16	Harborough Town	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
17	Scarborough Athletic	13	4	3	6	19	18	15
18	Merthyr Town	13	3	6	4	15	16	15
19	Radcliffe FC	13	5	0	8	16	21	15
20	Brackley	13	4	3	6	15	24	15
21	AFC Telford	13	3	4	6	13	20	13
22	Darlington 1883	13	3	2	8	17	24	11
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13	23	10
24	Spennymoor Town	12	1	4	7	12	26	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Worksop	Kings Lynn Town
Buxton	2-2 D	1-0 W
Southport	2-0 W	0-0 D
Marine	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Worksop (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worksop

LLLWLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Harborough Town England National League North	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
17/10	Buxton England National League North	2-0	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	Morecambe England National League North	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Chester England National League North	0-1	1-4	2	3	L
12/09	Southport England National League North	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/09	Bedford Town England National League North	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
05/09	Marine England National League North	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
31/08	Oxford City England National League North	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
29/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	7	4	L

Kings Lynn Town

LLWWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Southport England National League North	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
17/10	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
10/10	Buxton England National League North	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	5-0	4	4	W
12/09	Chorley England National League North	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
08/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
05/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	4	2	L
22/08	Marine England National League North	1-0	1-4	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worksop vs Kings Lynn Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Worksop win (37%). Probabilities: Worksop 37%, draw 27%, Kings Lynn Town 37%.

How many goals are expected in Worksop vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Worksop 1.44 · Kings Lynn Town 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Worksop vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.