Football · England National League North · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hebburn Town vs Harborough Town

Team pages: Hebburn Town · Harborough Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Hebburn Town1.38

Harborough Town1.52

1X2

33% 27% 40%

Hebburn Town Draw Harborough Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hebburn Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWDLLD

Harborough Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hebburn Town 1458 · Harborough Town 1503

	Hebburn Town	Draw	Harborough Town
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harborough Town (rating 1458 vs 1503).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hebburn Town	Harborough Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	2.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.30

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:37 +8’	2.70	3.30	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England National League North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oxford City	13	8	3	2	25	8	27
2	Hereford FC	13	8	2	3	24	8	26
3	South Shields	13	8	2	3	22	18	26
4	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18	11	24
5	Chester	13	7	2	4	17	13	23
6	Buxton	14	7	2	5	26	23	23
7	Bedford Town	13	7	1	5	17	16	22
8	Hednesford	14	6	3	5	23	20	21
9	Kings Lynn Town	14	6	3	5	22	21	21
10	Morecambe	13	6	2	5	19	12	20
11	Chorley	13	6	2	5	23	21	20
12	Worksop	14	6	2	6	20	20	20
13	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18	23	19
14	Spalding United	13	5	3	5	16	13	18
15	Marine	13	5	1	7	15	15	16
16	Harborough Town	13	4	4	5	12	16	16
17	AFC Telford	14	4	4	6	14	20	16
18	Brackley	14	4	4	6	17	26	16
19	Scarborough Athletic	13	4	3	6	19	18	15
20	Merthyr Town	14	3	6	5	15	19	15
21	Radcliffe FC	14	5	0	9	16	24	15
22	Darlington 1883	14	3	2	9	17	25	11
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13	23	10
24	Spennymoor Town	13	1	4	8	12	27	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hebburn Town	Harborough Town
AFC Telford	2-2 D	0-0 D
Darlington 1883	1-1 D	4-2 W
Hednesford	2-1 W	1-2 L
Macclesfield	0-3 L	0-1 L
Buxton	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hebburn Town

WWLDLWDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	2-2	4	3	D
17/10	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
10/10	Oxford City England National League North	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	Hednesford England National League North	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
08/09	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-3	1-5	5	4	L
05/09	Chester England National League North	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
29/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	1-2	4-2	5	2	W
22/08	Buxton England National League North	1-1	2-1	4	4	W

Harborough Town

WLWLLDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Buxton England National League North	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
24/10	Worksop England National League North	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	Southport England National League North	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
26/09	Macclesfield England National League North	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
12/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
08/09	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
05/09	Brackley England National League North	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
31/08	Marine England National League North	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/08	Hednesford England National League North	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
22/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-2	4-2	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hebburn Town vs Harborough Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Harborough Town win (40%). Probabilities: Hebburn Town 33%, draw 27%, Harborough Town 40%.

How many goals are expected in Hebburn Town vs Harborough Town?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Hebburn Town 1.38 · Harborough Town 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hebburn Town vs Harborough Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.