Football · England National League North · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Bedford Town vs Macclesfield

Team pages: Bedford Town · Macclesfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Bedford Town0.97

Macclesfield1.64

1X2

22% 25% 53%

Bedford Town Draw Macclesfield

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bedford Town 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Macclesfield 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bedford Town 0–2 Macclesfield (2 last)

Macclesfield2-1Bedford Town
Bedford Town1-2Macclesfield

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bedford Town 1551 · Macclesfield 1575

	Bedford Town	Draw	Macclesfield
Our model	21%	27%	52%
Market	23%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Macclesfield: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bedford Town	Macclesfield
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.80

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:43 +2’	3.90	3.80	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bedford Town 0–0–2 Macclesfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England National League North	Macclesfield	2-1 HT 2-1	Bedford Town
16/12/25 England National League North	Bedford Town	1-2 HT 0-1	Macclesfield

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oxford City	13	8	3	2	25	8	27
2	Hereford FC	13	8	2	3	24	8	26
3	South Shields	13	8	2	3	22	18	26
4	Macclesfield	12	7	3	2	18	11	24
5	Chester	13	7	2	4	17	13	23
6	Buxton	14	7	2	5	26	23	23
7	Bedford Town	13	7	1	5	17	16	22
8	Hednesford	14	6	3	5	23	20	21
9	Kings Lynn Town	14	6	3	5	22	21	21
10	Morecambe	13	6	2	5	19	12	20
11	Chorley	13	6	2	5	23	21	20
12	Worksop	14	6	2	6	20	20	20
13	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18	23	19
14	Spalding United	13	5	3	5	16	13	18
15	Marine	13	5	1	7	15	15	16
16	Harborough Town	13	4	4	5	12	16	16
17	AFC Telford	14	4	4	6	14	20	16
18	Brackley	14	4	4	6	17	26	16
19	Scarborough Athletic	13	4	3	6	19	18	15
20	Merthyr Town	14	3	6	5	15	19	15
21	Radcliffe FC	14	5	0	9	16	24	15
22	Darlington 1883	14	3	2	9	17	25	11
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13	23	10
24	Spennymoor Town	13	1	4	8	12	27	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bedford Town	Macclesfield
Scarborough Athletic	2-1 W	0-0 D
Hereford FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Spalding United	1-2 L	0-0 D
Spennymoor Town	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bedford Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bedford Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Hednesford England National League North	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
24/10	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
10/10	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
26/09	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Spalding United England National League North	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
08/09	Worksop England National League North	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
31/08	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
22/08	Southport England National League North	1-2	1-4	6	4	L

Macclesfield

DWWWLDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
10/10	South Shields England National League North	2-3	4-3	3	6	W
26/09	Harborough Town England National League North	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/09	Spennymoor Town England National League North	1-0	1-1	11	6	D
08/09	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
31/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
22/08	Brackley England National League North	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bedford Town vs Macclesfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Macclesfield win (53%). Probabilities: Bedford Town 22%, draw 25%, Macclesfield 53%.

How many goals are expected in Bedford Town vs Macclesfield?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Bedford Town 0.97 · Macclesfield 1.64), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bedford Town vs Macclesfield?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.