Football · England National League North · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kings Lynn Town vs Spennymoor Town

Team pages: Kings Lynn Town · Spennymoor Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Kings Lynn Town1.94

Spennymoor Town1.18

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Kings Lynn Town Draw Spennymoor Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kings Lynn Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDDLW

Spennymoor Town 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDLLLW

Head-to-head

Kings Lynn Town 2–4 Spennymoor Town (6 last)

Kings Lynn Town0-1Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor Town0-5Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town0-3Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor Town1-2Kings Lynn Town
Spennymoor Town3-0Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town0-1Spennymoor Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kings Lynn Town 1526 · Spennymoor Town 1471

	Kings Lynn Town	Draw	Spennymoor Town
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kings Lynn Town (rating 1526 vs 1471).
H2H favours Spennymoor Town: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kings Lynn Town	Spennymoor Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 3.9	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.70

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +21’	1.67	3.70	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kings Lynn Town 2–0–4 Spennymoor Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Spennymoor Town
19/08/25 England National League North	Spennymoor Town	0-5 HT 0-2	Kings Lynn Town
15/03/25 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-3 HT 0-2	Spennymoor Town
29/10/24 England National League North	Spennymoor Town	1-2 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town
20/04/24 England National League North	Spennymoor Town	3-0 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town
11/11/23 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-1 HT 0-1	Spennymoor Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Shields	14	9	2	3	25	19	29
2	Oxford City	14	8	3	3	26	11	27
3	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	21	11	27
4	Hereford FC	14	8	2	4	24	11	26
5	Buxton	15	8	2	5	30	25	26
6	Kings Lynn Town	15	7	3	5	25	21	24
7	Hednesford	15	7	3	5	24	20	24
8	Morecambe	14	7	2	5	21	12	23
9	Chester	14	7	2	5	17	14	23
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	17	19	22
11	Spalding United	14	6	3	5	19	15	21
12	Chorley	14	6	2	6	23	23	20
13	Worksop	15	6	2	7	20	21	20
14	Hebburn Town	14	5	5	4	19	24	20
15	AFC Telford	15	5	4	6	16	21	19
16	Brackley	15	5	4	6	18	26	19
17	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	13	17	17
18	Marine	14	5	1	8	17	19	16
19	Merthyr Town	15	3	7	5	18	22	16
20	Radcliffe FC	15	5	1	9	19	27	16
21	Scarborough Athletic	14	4	3	7	19	20	15
22	Darlington 1883	15	3	2	10	19	28	11
23	Southport	14	2	4	8	14	25	10
24	Spennymoor Town	14	2	4	8	14	27	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kings Lynn Town	Spennymoor Town
Hereford FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
Southport	0-0 D	2-2 D
Chorley	2-0 W	2-0 W
Hednesford	2-3 L	1-1 D
Darlington 1883	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kings Lynn Town (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kings Lynn Town

WWLWWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hereford FC England National League North	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
27/10	Worksop England National League North	0-2	0-5	4	1	L
24/10	Southport England National League North	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
17/10	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
10/10	Buxton England National League North	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	5-0	4	4	W
12/09	Chorley England National League North	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
08/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
05/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	3-1	5	2	W

Spennymoor Town

LDLLDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chorley England National League North	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
27/10	South Shields England National League North	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/10	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
10/10	Brackley England National League North	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
26/09	Southport England National League North	0-2	2-2	3	2	D
12/09	Macclesfield England National League North	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
08/09	Spalding United England National League North	1-0	1-3	8	6	L
05/09	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
31/08	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	Bedford Town England National League North	0-2	1-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kings Lynn Town vs Spennymoor Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kings Lynn Town win (54%). Probabilities: Kings Lynn Town 54%, draw 24%, Spennymoor Town 22%.

How many goals are expected in Kings Lynn Town vs Spennymoor Town?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Kings Lynn Town 1.94 · Spennymoor Town 1.18), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kings Lynn Town vs Spennymoor Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.