Football · England National League North · 07/11, 16:00
Prediction: Brackley vs Chester
Team pages: Brackley · Chester
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Brackley1.05
Chester1.61
1X2
Brackley
Draw
Chester
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Brackley
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Chester
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brackley
4–1–1
Chester
(6 last)
- Brackley2-1Chester
- Chester0-1Brackley
- Brackley3-1Chester
- Chester1-0Brackley
- Chester0-1Brackley
- Brackley1-1Chester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brackley 1497 · Chester 1481
| Brackley | Draw | Chester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brackley: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brackley | Chester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.4 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brackley 4–1–1 Chester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/24 England National League North | Brackley | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chester |
| 17/08/24 England National League North | Chester | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Brackley |
| 13/04/24 England National League North | Brackley | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Chester |
| 05/12/23 England National League North | Chester | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brackley |
| 07/05/23 England National League North | Chester | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Brackley |
| 07/01/23 England National League North | Brackley | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chester |
Standings · England National League North
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Shields | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Hereford FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 6 | Kings Lynn Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 24 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Morecambe | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 23 |
| 9 | Chester | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 23 |
| 10 | Bedford Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 22 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 12 | Chorley | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 13 | Worksop | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Hebburn Town | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 24 | 20 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 16 | Brackley | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 19 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 18 | Marine | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
| 20 | Radcliffe FC | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
| 21 | Scarborough Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brackley | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Worksop | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Hednesford | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| South Shields | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Morecambe | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Buxton | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Chester (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brackley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Worksop England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/10 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Hednesford England National League North |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/09 | South Shields England National League North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 08/09 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Harborough Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Chester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hednesford England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/10 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | South Shields England National League North |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 26/09 | Worksop England National League North |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Buxton England National League North |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Hereford FC England National League North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brackley vs Chester?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chester win (50%). Probabilities: Brackley 24%, draw 26%, Chester 50%.
How many goals are expected in Brackley vs Chester?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Brackley 1.05 · Chester 1.61), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brackley vs Chester?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.