Football · England National League North · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Brackley vs Radcliffe FC

Team pages: Brackley · Radcliffe FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Brackley1.71

Radcliffe FC1.38

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Brackley Draw Radcliffe FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Brackley 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLDWWL

Radcliffe FC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Brackley 1–1 Radcliffe FC (2 last)

Radcliffe FC1-2Brackley
Brackley0-1Radcliffe FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brackley 1474 · Radcliffe FC 1467

	Brackley	Draw	Radcliffe FC
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brackley	Radcliffe FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	2.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +17’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brackley 1–0–1 Radcliffe FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/25 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Brackley
19/10/24 England National League North	Brackley	0-1 HT 0-0	Radcliffe FC

Standings · England National League North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Macclesfield	11	7	3	1	17	9	24
2	Hereford FC	11	7	2	2	22	6	23
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21	7	23
4	Kings Lynn Town	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
5	Chester	11	6	2	3	14	9	20
6	South Shields	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
7	Hednesford	12	5	3	4	21	19	18
8	Hebburn Town	12	5	3	4	16	21	18
9	Spalding United	11	5	2	4	14	9	17
10	Chorley	11	5	2	4	18	18	17
11	Buxton	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
12	Bedford Town	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
13	Worksop	12	5	1	6	14	19	16
14	Scarborough Athletic	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
15	Merthyr Town	12	3	6	3	14	13	15
16	Marine	11	5	0	6	13	12	15
17	Harborough Town	11	4	3	4	11	12	15
18	Brackley	12	4	3	5	15	23	15
19	Morecambe	11	4	2	5	15	11	14
20	Radcliffe FC	12	4	0	8	15	21	12
21	AFC Telford	12	3	3	6	11	18	12
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
23	Darlington 1883	12	2	2	8	14	24	8
24	Spennymoor Town	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brackley	Radcliffe FC
Hednesford	2-3 L	1-4 L
Scarborough Athletic	1-1 D	4-1 W
Morecambe	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Radcliffe FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brackley

LLDWLLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hednesford England National League North	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
10/10	Spennymoor Town England National League North	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
29/09	South Shields England National League North	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
26/09	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
12/09	Morecambe England National League North	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
08/09	Buxton England National League North	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
05/09	Harborough Town England National League North	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
31/08	Chorley England National League North	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
22/08	Macclesfield England National League North	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
18/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	0-1	0-2	5	8	L

Radcliffe FC

LWLLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Southport England National League North	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
10/10	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
26/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-3	1-4	3	5	L
12/09	Oxford City England National League North	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
08/09	Hebburn Town England National League North	3-1	5-1	10	4	W
05/09	Bedford Town England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
29/08	Marine England National League North	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
22/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brackley vs Radcliffe FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brackley win (44%). Probabilities: Brackley 44%, draw 26%, Radcliffe FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Brackley vs Radcliffe FC?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Brackley 1.71 · Radcliffe FC 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brackley vs Radcliffe FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.