Football · England National League North · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Harborough Town vs Worksop
Team pages: Harborough Town · Worksop
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Harborough Town1.66
Worksop1.11
1X2
Harborough Town
Draw
Worksop
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Harborough Town
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Worksop
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Harborough Town
1–0
Worksop
(1 last)
- Harborough Town3-2Worksop
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harborough Town 1523 · Worksop 1452
| Harborough Town | Draw | Worksop | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harborough Town (rating 1523 vs 1452).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harborough Town | Worksop | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.7 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harborough Town 1–0–0 Worksop
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Harborough Town | 3-2 | Worksop |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Kings Lynn Town | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | Bedford Town | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 16 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 16 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 18 | Brackley | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 15 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 20 | Radcliffe FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 21 | AFC Telford | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 22 | Southport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Harborough Town | Worksop |
|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hereford FC | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Marine | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Oxford City | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Morecambe | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harborough Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Southport England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/09 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Brackley England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Marine England National League North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Hednesford England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
1-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/08 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Worksop
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Buxton England National League North |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Morecambe England National League North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Southport England National League North |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | Bedford Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harborough Town vs Worksop?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harborough Town win (50%). Probabilities: Harborough Town 50%, draw 26%, Worksop 25%.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs Worksop?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Harborough Town 1.66 · Worksop 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Harborough Town vs Worksop?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.