Football · England National League North · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Kings Lynn Town vs Southport

Team pages: Kings Lynn Town · Southport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Kings Lynn Town1.91

Southport1.07

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Kings Lynn Town Draw Southport

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kings Lynn Town 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWD

Southport 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLDLL

Head-to-head

Kings Lynn Town 4–1–1 Southport (6 last)

Kings Lynn Town2-0Southport
Southport0-0Kings Lynn Town
Southport0-2Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town1-0Southport
Southport0-4Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town1-4Southport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kings Lynn Town 1535 · Southport 1421

	Kings Lynn Town	Draw	Southport
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kings Lynn Town (rating 1535 vs 1421).
H2H favours Kings Lynn Town: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kings Lynn Town	Southport
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.75

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +6’	1.60	3.75	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kings Lynn Town 4–1–1 Southport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	2-0 HT 1-0	Southport
01/11/25 England National League North	Southport	0-0 HT 0-0	Kings Lynn Town
08/03/25 England National League North	Southport	0-2 HT 0-2	Kings Lynn Town
23/11/24 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Southport
23/12/23 England National League North	Southport	0-4 HT 0-2	Kings Lynn Town
09/09/23 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	1-4 HT 0-4	Southport

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Macclesfield	11	7	3	1	17	9	24
2	Hereford FC	11	7	2	2	22	6	23
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21	7	23
4	Kings Lynn Town	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
5	Chester	11	6	2	3	14	9	20
6	South Shields	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
7	Hednesford	12	5	3	4	21	19	18
8	Hebburn Town	12	5	3	4	16	21	18
9	Spalding United	11	5	2	4	14	9	17
10	Chorley	11	5	2	4	18	18	17
11	Buxton	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
12	Bedford Town	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
13	Worksop	12	5	1	6	14	19	16
14	Scarborough Athletic	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
15	Merthyr Town	12	3	6	3	14	13	15
16	Marine	11	5	0	6	13	12	15
17	Harborough Town	11	4	3	4	11	12	15
18	Brackley	12	4	3	5	15	23	15
19	Morecambe	11	4	2	5	15	11	14
20	Radcliffe FC	12	4	0	8	15	21	12
21	AFC Telford	12	3	3	6	11	18	12
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
23	Darlington 1883	12	2	2	8	14	24	8
24	Spennymoor Town	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kings Lynn Town	Southport
Hednesford	2-3 L	2-2 D
Scarborough Athletic	3-1 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kings Lynn Town

WLLWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
10/10	Buxton England National League North	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	5-0	4	4	W
12/09	Chorley England National League North	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
08/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
05/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	4	2	L
22/08	Marine England National League North	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
18/08	Brackley England National League North	1-0	2-0	8	8	W

Southport

DWLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
10/10	Harborough Town England National League North	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
26/09	Spennymoor Town England National League North	2-0	2-2	9	2	D
12/09	Worksop England National League North	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
08/09	Morecambe England National League North	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
05/09	Spalding United England National League North	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
31/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
29/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-3	1-5	2	1	L
22/08	Bedford Town England National League North	2-1	4-1	5	4	W
18/08	Hednesford England National League North	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kings Lynn Town vs Southport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kings Lynn Town win (56%). Probabilities: Kings Lynn Town 56%, draw 24%, Southport 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kings Lynn Town vs Southport?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Kings Lynn Town 1.91 · Southport 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kings Lynn Town vs Southport?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.