Football · England National League North · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Marine vs Oxford City

Team pages: Marine · Oxford City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Marine1.11

Oxford City1.22

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Marine Draw Oxford City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Marine 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLWWW

Oxford City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Marine 1–2–1 Oxford City (4 last)

Oxford City0-2Marine
Marine0-0Oxford City
Oxford City1-0Marine
Marine1-1Oxford City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marine 1551 · Oxford City 1592

	Marine	Draw	Oxford City
Our model	32%	31%	37%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oxford City (rating 1551 vs 1592).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marine	Oxford City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +16’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marine 1–2–1 Oxford City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 England National League North	Oxford City	0-2 HT 0-1	Marine
22/11/25 England National League North	Marine	0-0 HT 0-0	Oxford City
04/02/25 England National League North	Oxford City	1-0 HT 1-0	Marine
10/08/24 England National League North	Marine	1-1 HT 1-0	Oxford City

Standings · England National League North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Macclesfield	11	7	3	1	17	9	24
2	Hereford FC	11	7	2	2	22	6	23
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21	7	23
4	Kings Lynn Town	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
5	Chester	11	6	2	3	14	9	20
6	South Shields	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
7	Hednesford	12	5	3	4	21	19	18
8	Hebburn Town	12	5	3	4	16	21	18
9	Spalding United	11	5	2	4	14	9	17
10	Chorley	11	5	2	4	18	18	17
11	Buxton	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
12	Bedford Town	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
13	Worksop	12	5	1	6	14	19	16
14	Scarborough Athletic	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
15	Merthyr Town	12	3	6	3	14	13	15
16	Marine	11	5	0	6	13	12	15
17	Harborough Town	11	4	3	4	11	12	15
18	Brackley	12	4	3	5	15	23	15
19	Morecambe	11	4	2	5	15	11	14
20	Radcliffe FC	12	4	0	8	15	21	12
21	AFC Telford	12	3	3	6	11	18	12
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
23	Darlington 1883	12	2	2	8	14	24	8
24	Spennymoor Town	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marine	Oxford City
Spalding United	1-0 W	1-0 W
Worksop	0-1 L	1-0 W
Harborough Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Radcliffe FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Chorley	0-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oxford City (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marine

LLWWLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
12/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
08/09	South Shields England National League North	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
05/09	Worksop England National League North	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
31/08	Harborough Town England National League North	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
29/08	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
22/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	0-1	4-1	2	3	W
18/08	Chorley England National League North	0-2	0-2	5	6	L
15/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Oxford City

WDWLWWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hebburn Town England National League North	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
26/09	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Radcliffe FC England National League North	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
08/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
05/09	Chorley England National League North	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
31/08	Worksop England National League North	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
28/08	Buxton England National League North	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
22/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	3-1	4-1	5	4	W
18/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	Spalding United England National League North	1-0	1-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marine vs Oxford City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oxford City win (39%). Probabilities: Marine 33%, draw 28%, Oxford City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Marine vs Oxford City?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Marine 1.11 · Oxford City 1.22), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marine vs Oxford City?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.