Football · England National League North · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town

Team pages: Scarborough Athletic · Bedford Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Scarborough Athletic1.69

Bedford Town1.02

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Scarborough Athletic Draw Bedford Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Scarborough Athletic 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Bedford Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWLDL

Head-to-head

Scarborough Athletic 0–2–0 Bedford Town (2 last)

Bedford Town1-1Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic2-2Bedford Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scarborough Athletic 1510 · Bedford Town 1534

	Scarborough Athletic	Draw	Bedford Town
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scarborough Athletic	Bedford Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	2.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.75

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +10’	1.70	3.75	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Scarborough Athletic 0–2–0 Bedford Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 England National League North	Bedford Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Scarborough Athletic
06/12/25 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	2-2 HT 1-1	Bedford Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Macclesfield	11	7	3	1	17	9	24
2	Hereford FC	11	7	2	2	22	6	23
3	Oxford City	11	7	2	2	21	7	23
4	Kings Lynn Town	12	6	2	4	22	16	20
5	Chester	11	6	2	3	14	9	20
6	South Shields	11	6	2	3	18	17	20
7	Hednesford	12	5	3	4	21	19	18
8	Hebburn Town	12	5	3	4	16	21	18
9	Spalding United	11	5	2	4	14	9	17
10	Chorley	11	5	2	4	18	18	17
11	Buxton	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
12	Bedford Town	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
13	Worksop	12	5	1	6	14	19	16
14	Scarborough Athletic	12	4	3	5	18	16	15
15	Merthyr Town	12	3	6	3	14	13	15
16	Marine	11	5	0	6	13	12	15
17	Harborough Town	11	4	3	4	11	12	15
18	Brackley	12	4	3	5	15	23	15
19	Morecambe	11	4	2	5	15	11	14
20	Radcliffe FC	12	4	0	8	15	21	12
21	AFC Telford	12	3	3	6	11	18	12
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13	23	9
23	Darlington 1883	12	2	2	8	14	24	8
24	Spennymoor Town	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scarborough Athletic	Bedford Town
Radcliffe FC	1-4 L	1-0 W
AFC Telford	0-1 L	1-0 W
Southport	5-1 W	1-4 L
Spennymoor Town	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scarborough Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hebburn Town England National League North	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
10/10	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-1	1-4	2	5	L
26/09	Brackley England National League North	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
08/09	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
05/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
31/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
29/08	Southport England National League North	3-0	5-1	5	1	W
22/08	Chorley England National League North	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
18/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	3-0	3-0	6	4	W

Bedford Town

LWLWWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
26/09	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Spalding United England National League North	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
08/09	Worksop England National League North	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
31/08	AFC Telford England National League North	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
29/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
22/08	Southport England National League North	1-2	1-4	6	4	L
18/08	Buxton England National League North	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
15/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-2	2-3	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Scarborough Athletic win (52%). Probabilities: Scarborough Athletic 52%, draw 25%, Bedford Town 23%.

How many goals are expected in Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Scarborough Athletic 1.69 · Bedford Town 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.