Football · England National League North · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Macclesfield vs South Shields

Team pages: Macclesfield · South Shields

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Macclesfield1.32

South Shields1.24

1X2

38% 27% 34%

Macclesfield Draw South Shields

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Macclesfield 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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South Shields 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Macclesfield 3–1 South Shields (4 last)

South Shields4-1Macclesfield
South Shields0-1Macclesfield
Macclesfield1-0South Shields
Macclesfield5-0South Shields

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macclesfield 1570 · South Shields 1565

	Macclesfield	Draw	South Shields
Our model	37%	29%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Macclesfield: 3-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Macclesfield	South Shields
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +3’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Macclesfield 3–0–1 South Shields

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 England National League North	South Shields	4-1 HT 3-1	Macclesfield
13/12/25 England FA Trophy	South Shields	0-1 HT 0-1	Macclesfield
25/10/25 England National League North	Macclesfield	1-0 HT 1-0	South Shields
14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Macclesfield	5-0	South Shields

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hereford FC	10	7	2	1	22	5	23
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	13	6	21
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18	7	20
4	South Shields	9	6	2	1	13	10	20
5	Hebburn Town	10	5	3	2	16	16	18
6	Spalding United	10	5	2	3	14	8	17
7	Chester	10	5	2	3	13	9	17
8	Kings Lynn Town	10	5	1	4	20	15	16
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	18	18	16
10	Bedford Town	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
11	Morecambe	10	4	2	4	14	9	14
12	Chorley	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Merthyr Town	10	3	4	3	12	11	13
14	Scarborough Athletic	10	3	3	4	15	12	12
15	Hednesford	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12	12	12
17	Harborough Town	10	3	3	4	10	12	12
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10	16	12
19	Southport	10	2	3	5	13	20	9
20	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8	15	9
21	Brackley	9	2	3	4	8	17	9
22	Darlington 1883	10	2	1	7	12	21	7
23	Spennymoor Town	10	1	4	5	11	21	7
24	Radcliffe FC	10	2	0	8	9	20	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Macclesfield	South Shields
Scarborough Athletic	0-0 D	1-0 W
Merthyr Town	1-2 L	1-1 D
Brackley	2-1 W	2-3 L
Spalding United	0-0 D	1-1 D
Marine	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: South Shields (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macclesfield

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Harborough Town England National League North	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/09	Spennymoor Town England National League North	1-0	1-1	11	6	D
08/09	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
31/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
22/08	Brackley England National League North	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
15/08	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
08/08	Marine England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

South Shields

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Brackley England National League North	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
26/09	Buxton England National League North	2-0	4-0	6	7	W
12/09	Hereford FC England National League North	0-3	0-6	3	4	L
08/09	Marine England National League North	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
22/08	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
15/08	Chorley England National League North	0-1	2-1	15	2	W
08/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macclesfield vs South Shields?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Macclesfield win (38%). Probabilities: Macclesfield 38%, draw 27%, South Shields 34%.

How many goals are expected in Macclesfield vs South Shields?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Macclesfield 1.32 · South Shields 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Macclesfield vs South Shields?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.