Football · England National League North · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Radcliffe FC vs Scarborough Athletic

Team pages: Radcliffe FC · Scarborough Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Radcliffe FC1.26

Scarborough Athletic1.78

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Radcliffe FC Draw Scarborough Athletic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Radcliffe FC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Scarborough Athletic 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLDDD

Head-to-head

Radcliffe FC 1–1–4 Scarborough Athletic (6 last)

Radcliffe FC1-4Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic0-3Radcliffe FC
Scarborough Athletic2-0Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC3-3Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic5-2Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC0-1Scarborough Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radcliffe FC 1416 · Scarborough Athletic 1512

	Radcliffe FC	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scarborough Athletic (rating 1416 vs 1512).
H2H favours Scarborough Athletic: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radcliffe FC	Scarborough Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +8’	3.40	3.60	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Radcliffe FC 1–1–4 Scarborough Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	1-4 HT 0-3	Scarborough Athletic
16/12/25 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	0-3 HT 0-2	Radcliffe FC
04/02/25 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	2-0 HT 1-0	Radcliffe FC
10/08/24 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	3-3 HT 1-2	Scarborough Athletic
23/04/22 England Northern Premier League	Scarborough Athletic	5-2	Radcliffe FC
28/08/21 England Northern Premier League	Radcliffe FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Scarborough Athletic

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hereford FC	10	7	2	1	22	5	23
2	Macclesfield	10	6	3	1	13	6	21
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18	7	20
4	South Shields	9	6	2	1	13	10	20
5	Hebburn Town	10	5	3	2	16	16	18
6	Spalding United	10	5	2	3	14	8	17
7	Chester	10	5	2	3	13	9	17
8	Kings Lynn Town	10	5	1	4	20	15	16
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	18	18	16
10	Bedford Town	10	5	1	4	14	14	16
11	Morecambe	10	4	2	4	14	9	14
12	Chorley	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Merthyr Town	10	3	4	3	12	11	13
14	Scarborough Athletic	10	3	3	4	15	12	12
15	Hednesford	10	3	3	4	17	17	12
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12	12	12
17	Harborough Town	10	3	3	4	10	12	12
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10	16	12
19	Southport	10	2	3	5	13	20	9
20	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8	15	9
21	Brackley	9	2	3	4	8	17	9
22	Darlington 1883	10	2	1	7	12	21	7
23	Spennymoor Town	10	1	4	5	11	21	7
24	Radcliffe FC	10	2	0	8	9	20	6

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radcliffe FC	Scarborough Athletic
Hednesford	1-4 L	4-3 W
Macclesfield	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Scarborough Athletic (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radcliffe FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-3	1-4	3	5	L
12/09	Oxford City England National League North	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
08/09	Hebburn Town England National League North	3-1	5-1	10	4	W
05/09	Bedford Town England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
29/08	Marine England National League North	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
22/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
15/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
08/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-2	3	5	L

Scarborough Athletic

LWWLWLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Brackley England National League North	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
12/09	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
08/09	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
05/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-1	0	0	L
31/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
29/08	Southport England National League North	3-0	5-1	5	1	W
22/08	Chorley England National League North	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
18/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	3-0	3-0	6	4	W
15/08	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	4-3	3	6	W
08/08	South Shields England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radcliffe FC vs Scarborough Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Scarborough Athletic win (49%). Probabilities: Radcliffe FC 26%, draw 25%, Scarborough Athletic 49%.

How many goals are expected in Radcliffe FC vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Radcliffe FC 1.26 · Scarborough Athletic 1.78), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Radcliffe FC vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.