Football · England National League North · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Radcliffe FC vs Oxford City

Team pages: Radcliffe FC · Oxford City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Radcliffe FC1.19

Oxford City1.31

1X2

33% 27% 39%

Radcliffe FC Draw Oxford City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Radcliffe FC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLLW

Oxford City 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWLWWL

Head-to-head

Radcliffe FC 2–2 Oxford City (4 last)

Radcliffe FC1-0Oxford City
Oxford City1-5Radcliffe FC
Oxford City1-0Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC1-3Oxford City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radcliffe FC 1450 · Oxford City 1504

	Radcliffe FC	Draw	Oxford City
Our model	32%	29%	38%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oxford City (rating 1450 vs 1504).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radcliffe FC	Oxford City
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +1’	2.63	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Radcliffe FC 2–0–2 Oxford City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Oxford City
30/08/25 England National League North	Oxford City	1-5 HT 1-1	Radcliffe FC
29/03/25 England National League North	Oxford City	1-0 HT 0-0	Radcliffe FC
26/10/24 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Oxford City

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hereford FC	8	6	1	1	15	4	19
2	Macclesfield	8	5	2	1	11	5	17
3	South Shields	7	5	2	0	9	4	17
4	Oxford City	8	5	1	2	14	6	16
5	Bedford Town	8	5	0	3	12	11	15
6	Spalding United	8	4	2	2	11	5	14
7	Chester	8	4	2	2	8	5	14
8	Hebburn Town	8	4	2	2	13	14	14
9	Buxton	8	4	1	3	15	13	13
10	Merthyr Town	8	3	3	2	11	9	12
11	Chorley	8	3	2	3	14	14	11
12	Harborough Town	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
13	Scarborough Athletic	8	3	1	4	14	11	10
14	Morecambe	8	3	1	4	10	8	10
15	Kings Lynn Town	8	3	1	4	13	15	10
16	Hednesford	8	2	3	3	12	14	9
17	Worksop	8	3	0	5	7	12	9
18	AFC Telford	8	2	2	4	8	10	8
19	Southport	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
20	Brackley	7	2	2	3	7	13	8
21	Marine	8	2	0	6	8	10	6
22	Radcliffe FC	8	2	0	6	8	13	6
23	Darlington 1883	8	2	0	6	10	18	6
24	Spennymoor Town	8	1	2	5	8	18	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radcliffe FC	Oxford City
Bedford Town	0-1 L	1-0 W
Darlington 1883	0-1 L	3-1 W
Spalding United	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oxford City (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radcliffe FC

LWLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Hebburn Town England National League North	3-1	5-1	10	4	W
05/09	Bedford Town England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/08	Darlington 1883 England National League North	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
29/08	Marine England National League North	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
22/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
15/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
08/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
25/04	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/04	Hereford FC England National League North	1-3	1-3	10	11	L

Oxford City

LWWWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
05/09	Chorley England National League North	2-0	4-0	8	1	W
31/08	Worksop England National League North	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
28/08	Buxton England National League North	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
22/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	3-1	4-1	5	4	W
18/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	Spalding United England National League North	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
08/08	Bedford Town England National League North	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/04	Darlington 1883 England National League North	2-0	3-1	4	10	W
18/04	Chester England National League North	0-2	1-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radcliffe FC vs Oxford City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oxford City win (39%). Probabilities: Radcliffe FC 33%, draw 27%, Oxford City 39%.

How many goals are expected in Radcliffe FC vs Oxford City?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Radcliffe FC 1.19 · Oxford City 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Radcliffe FC vs Oxford City?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.