Football · England National League North · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic
Team pages: Macclesfield · Scarborough Athletic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Macclesfield1.83
Scarborough Athletic1.25
1X2
Macclesfield
Draw
Scarborough Athletic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Macclesfield
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Scarborough Athletic
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Macclesfield
0–2–0
Scarborough Athletic
(2 last)
- Scarborough Athletic2-2Macclesfield
- Macclesfield1-1Scarborough Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macclesfield 1564 · Scarborough Athletic 1467
| Macclesfield | Draw | Scarborough Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macclesfield (rating 1564 vs 1467).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macclesfield | Scarborough Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macclesfield 0–2–0 Scarborough Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England National League North | Scarborough Athletic | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Macclesfield |
| 29/11/25 England National League North | Macclesfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Scarborough Athletic |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hereford FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chester | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | South Shields | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bedford Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Buxton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Merthyr Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Worksop | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Brackley | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Chorley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Marine | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | Darlington 1883 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 21 | AFC Telford | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 22 | Southport | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 5 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macclesfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Brackley England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/08 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Scarborough Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31/08 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Southport England National League North |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Chorley England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Hednesford England National League North |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | South Shields England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macclesfield win (50%). Probabilities: Macclesfield 50%, draw 25%, Scarborough Athletic 25%.
How many goals are expected in Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Macclesfield 1.83 · Scarborough Athletic 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Macclesfield vs Scarborough Athletic?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.