Football · England National League North · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: South Shields vs Marine
Team pages: South Shields · Marine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
South Shields1.78
Marine0.7
1X2
South Shields
Draw
Marine
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
South Shields
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Marine
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South Shields
3–2–1
Marine
(6 last)
- Marine2-2South Shields
- South Shields1-0Marine
- Marine4-1South Shields
- South Shields2-0Marine
- South Shields2-1Marine
- Marine2-2South Shields
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · South Shields 1546 · Marine 1478
| South Shields | Draw | Marine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Shields (rating 1546 vs 1478).
- H2H favours South Shields: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Shields | Marine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.6 | 1.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · South Shields 3–2–1 Marine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England National League North | Marine | 2-2 HT 0-1 | South Shields |
| 09/08/25 England National League North | South Shields | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Marine |
| 26/04/25 England National League North | Marine | 4-1 HT 4-0 | South Shields |
| 21/12/24 England National League North | South Shields | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Marine |
| 07/01/23 England Northern Premier League | South Shields | 2-1 | Marine |
| 20/08/22 England Northern Premier League | Marine | 2-2 | South Shields |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oxford City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hereford FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chester | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | South Shields | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bedford Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Buxton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 13 | Scarborough Athletic | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Merthyr Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Worksop | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Brackley | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Chorley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Marine | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | Darlington 1883 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 21 | AFC Telford | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 22 | Southport | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 5 |
| 23 | Spennymoor Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Shields
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hednesford England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Spalding United England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/08 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 24 | 2 | D |
Marine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Worksop England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Harborough Town England National League North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
0-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Chorley England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Alfreton Town England National League North |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Shields vs Marine?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Shields win (63%). Probabilities: South Shields 63%, draw 22%, Marine 14%.
How many goals are expected in South Shields vs Marine?
The model expects 2.48 goals (South Shields 1.78 · Marine 0.7), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in South Shields vs Marine?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.