Football · England National League North · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Darlington 1883 vs Kings Lynn Town

Team pages: Darlington 1883 · Kings Lynn Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Darlington 18831.54

Kings Lynn Town1.45

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Darlington 1883 Draw Kings Lynn Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Darlington 1883 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLLW

Kings Lynn Town 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Darlington 1883 2–2–2 Kings Lynn Town (6 last)

Darlington 18831-1Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town1-1Darlington 1883
Darlington 18831-0Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town2-1Darlington 1883
Kings Lynn Town0-1Darlington 1883
Darlington 18831-2Kings Lynn Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darlington 1883 1443 · Kings Lynn Town 1461

	Darlington 1883	Draw	Kings Lynn Town
Our model	39%	27%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Darlington 1883	Kings Lynn Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +2’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Darlington 1883 2–2–2 Kings Lynn Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England National League North	Darlington 1883	1-1 HT 0-0	Kings Lynn Town
23/08/25 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	1-1 HT 0-1	Darlington 1883
22/02/25 England National League North	Darlington 1883	1-0 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town
05/10/24 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	2-1 HT 1-1	Darlington 1883
06/01/24 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Darlington 1883
14/10/23 England National League North	Darlington 1883	1-2 HT 1-2	Kings Lynn Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Macclesfield	6	5	1	0	10	3	16
2	Hereford FC	6	4	1	1	10	3	13
3	Oxford City	6	4	1	1	10	5	13
4	Chester	6	4	1	1	7	3	13
5	Hebburn Town	6	4	1	1	11	8	13
6	Harborough Town	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
7	South Shields	5	3	2	0	6	3	11
8	Buxton	6	3	1	2	10	9	10
9	Scarborough Athletic	6	3	0	3	14	10	9
10	Bedford Town	6	3	0	3	9	10	9
11	Spalding United	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
12	Chorley	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
13	Morecambe	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
14	Kings Lynn Town	6	2	1	3	9	12	7
15	Merthyr Town	6	1	3	2	8	8	6
16	Marine	6	2	0	4	7	7	6
17	Hednesford	6	1	3	2	9	11	6
18	Darlington 1883	6	2	0	4	8	11	6
19	Worksop	6	2	0	4	5	10	6
20	Brackley	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
21	Southport	6	1	2	3	9	13	5
22	Spennymoor Town	6	1	2	3	6	13	5
23	Radcliffe FC	6	1	0	5	3	11	3
24	AFC Telford	6	0	2	4	6	10	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Darlington 1883	Kings Lynn Town
Harborough Town	2-4 L	1-1 D
Chester	0-1 L	0-2 L
Bedford Town	3-2 W	0-1 L
Marine	2-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Darlington 1883 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darlington 1883

WLDLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Radcliffe FC England National League North	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Macclesfield England National League North	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
22/08	Harborough Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	2	0	L
18/08	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
15/08	Bedford Town England National League North	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
08/08	Worksop England National League North	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/04	Oxford City England National League North	0-2	1-3	11	10	L
18/04	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/04	Marine England National League North	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
06/04	South Shields England National League North	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

Kings Lynn Town

LLDDDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	4	2	L
22/08	Marine England National League North	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
18/08	Brackley England National League North	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
15/08	Chester England National League North	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
08/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
25/04	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
18/04	Chorley England National League North	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
11/04	Kidderminster England National League North	1-3	1-4	2	1	L
06/04	Bedford Town England National League North	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darlington 1883 vs Kings Lynn Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Darlington 1883 win (39%). Probabilities: Darlington 1883 39%, draw 26%, Kings Lynn Town 35%.

How many goals are expected in Darlington 1883 vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Darlington 1883 1.54 · Kings Lynn Town 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Darlington 1883 vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.