Prediction: Buxton vs Hebburn Town

Team pages: Buxton · Hebburn Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Buxton1.93
Hebburn Town1.11
1X2
56% 24% 20%
Buxton Draw Hebburn Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Buxton 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
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Hebburn Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buxton 1539 · Hebburn Town 1553
BuxtonDrawHebburn Town
Our model56%24%20%
Market56%24%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BuxtonHebburn Town
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.12.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.82.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.31.6 / 0

Standings · England National League North

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chester 3300 519
2 South Shields 3300 419
3 Hebburn Town 3210 527
4 Macclesfield 3210 317
4 Oxford City 3210 317
6 Scarborough Athletic 3201 746
7 Hereford FC 3201 526
8 Worksop 3201 436
9 Harborough Town 3120 325
10 Merthyr Town 3111 544
11 Spalding United 3111 214
12 Buxton 3111 444
13 Kings Lynn Town 3111 334
14 Brackley 3111 344
15 Spennymoor Town 3111 354
16 Chorley 3102 443
17 Bedford Town 3102 453
17 Darlington 1883 3102 453
19 Southport 3021 462
20 AFC Telford 3012 461
21 Morecambe 3012 131
22 Hednesford 3012 581
23 Marine 3003 040
24 Radcliffe FC 3003 170

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buxton

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Bedford Town
England National League North
1-1 1-2 78 L
15/08 Southport
England National League North
0-1 1-1 104 D
08/08 Hereford FC
England National League North
1-0 2-1 56 W
21/07 Scunthorpe
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 82 W
10/07 Ashton Utd
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 52 W
07/07 Braga
Club Friendly List
1-3 L
02/05 South Shields
England National League North
0-1 0-1 12 L
28/04 Scarborough Athletic
England National League North
0-0 4-2 64 W
25/04 Leamington
England National League North
2-1 4-1 71 W
18/04 Curzon Ashton
England National League North
2-0 4-0 31 W

Hebburn Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Worksop
England National League North
0-0 1-0 64 W
15/08 Brackley
England National League North
0-0 1-1 42 D
08/08 Southport
England National League North
2-0 3-1 14 W
01/08 Blyth Spartans
UK Friendlies
2-2 4-2 50 W
25/07 Anstey Nomads
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
21/07 Hartlepool
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-3 10 L
14/07 Gateshead
UK Friendlies
0-1 3-3 00 D
04/07 Warrington Rylands
UK Friendlies
3-0 5-0 100 W
25/04 Rushall Olympic
England Northern Premier League
1-0 2-0 62 W
18/04 Bamber Bridge
England Northern Premier League
0-0 2-1 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buxton vs Hebburn Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Buxton win (56%). Probabilities: Buxton 56%, draw 24%, Hebburn Town 20%.

How many goals are expected in Buxton vs Hebburn Town?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Buxton 1.93 · Hebburn Town 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Buxton vs Hebburn Town?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.