Football · England National League North · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic

Team pages: Kings Lynn Town · Scarborough Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Kings Lynn Town1.47

Scarborough Athletic1.5

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Kings Lynn Town Draw Scarborough Athletic

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kings Lynn Town 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Scarborough Athletic 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kings Lynn Town 1–2–3 Scarborough Athletic (6 last)

Scarborough Athletic1-1Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town2-3Scarborough Athletic
Kings Lynn Town1-0Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic0-0Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town3-4Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic2-0Kings Lynn Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kings Lynn Town 1442 · Scarborough Athletic 1522

	Kings Lynn Town	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scarborough Athletic (rating 1442 vs 1522).
H2H favours Scarborough Athletic: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kings Lynn Town	Scarborough Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.68 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.35
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +4’	2.55	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:07 +2’	2.68	3.35	2.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kings Lynn Town 1–2–3 Scarborough Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	1-1 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town
04/10/25 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	2-3 HT 1-2	Scarborough Athletic
07/12/24 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Scarborough Athletic
03/09/24 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	0-0 HT 0-0	Kings Lynn Town
01/04/24 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	3-4 HT 3-0	Scarborough Athletic
21/11/23 England National League North	Scarborough Athletic	2-0 HT 1-0	Kings Lynn Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hebburn Town	5	4	1	0	11	5	13
2	Chester	5	4	1	0	7	2	13
3	Macclesfield	5	4	1	0	7	3	13
4	Hereford FC	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
5	Oxford City	5	3	1	1	9	5	10
6	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
7	Scarborough Athletic	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
8	Harborough Town	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
9	Spalding United	5	2	1	2	5	3	7
10	Chorley	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
11	Buxton	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
12	Merthyr Town	5	1	3	1	7	6	6
13	Marine	5	2	0	3	6	5	6
14	Bedford Town	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
15	Worksop	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
16	Hednesford	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
17	Southport	5	1	2	2	9	12	5
18	Brackley	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
18	Morecambe	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
20	Kings Lynn Town	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
21	Spennymoor Town	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
22	Darlington 1883	5	1	0	4	7	11	3
23	Radcliffe FC	5	1	0	4	3	10	3
24	AFC Telford	5	0	2	3	6	9	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kings Lynn Town	Scarborough Athletic
Chorley	1-1 D	1-2 L
Bedford Town	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kings Lynn Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	4	2	L
22/08	Marine England National League North	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
18/08	Brackley England National League North	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
15/08	Chester England National League North	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
08/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
25/04	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
18/04	Chorley England National League North	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
11/04	Kidderminster England National League North	1-3	1-4	2	1	L
06/04	Bedford Town England National League North	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
03/04	Peterborough Sports England National League North	0-1	2-2	5	8	D

Scarborough Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Southport England National League North	3-0	5-1	5	1	W
22/08	Chorley England National League North	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
18/08	Spennymoor Town England National League North	3-0	3-0	6	4	W
15/08	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	4-3	3	6	W
08/08	South Shields England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
28/04	Buxton England National League North	0-0	2-4	7	4	L
25/04	Bedford Town England National League North	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
18/04	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/04	Buxton England National League North	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
06/04	Spennymoor Town England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Scarborough Athletic win (37%). Probabilities: Kings Lynn Town 36%, draw 27%, Scarborough Athletic 37%.

How many goals are expected in Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Kings Lynn Town 1.47 · Scarborough Athletic 1.5), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.