Football · England National League North · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Radcliffe FC vs Darlington 1883

Team pages: Radcliffe FC · Darlington 1883

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Radcliffe FC1.71

Darlington 18831.74

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Radcliffe FC Draw Darlington 1883

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Radcliffe FC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLWL

Darlington 1883 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Radcliffe FC 1–3 Darlington 1883 (4 last)

Darlington 18833-0Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC3-1Darlington 1883
Darlington 18832-1Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC1-4Darlington 1883

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radcliffe FC 1427 · Darlington 1883 1443

	Radcliffe FC	Draw	Darlington 1883
Our model	37%	24%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Darlington 1883: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radcliffe FC	Darlington 1883
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	1.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.57 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +3’	2.15	3.50	2.75
17:07 +1’	2.45▲	3.60▲	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:07 +2’	2.57	3.51	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Radcliffe FC 1–0–3 Darlington 1883

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 England National League North	Darlington 1883	3-0 HT 1-0	Radcliffe FC
21/10/25 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Darlington 1883
11/03/25 England National League North	Darlington 1883	2-1 HT 1-0	Radcliffe FC
30/11/24 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	1-4 HT 1-3	Darlington 1883

Standings · England National League North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hebburn Town	5	4	1	0	11	5	13
2	Chester	5	4	1	0	7	2	13
3	Macclesfield	5	4	1	0	7	3	13
4	Hereford FC	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
5	Oxford City	5	3	1	1	9	5	10
6	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
7	Scarborough Athletic	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
8	Harborough Town	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
9	Spalding United	5	2	1	2	5	3	7
10	Chorley	5	2	1	2	7	6	7
11	Buxton	5	2	1	2	8	8	7
12	Merthyr Town	5	1	3	1	7	6	6
13	Marine	5	2	0	3	6	5	6
14	Bedford Town	5	2	0	3	8	10	6
15	Worksop	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
16	Hednesford	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
17	Southport	5	1	2	2	9	12	5
18	Brackley	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
18	Morecambe	5	1	1	3	4	6	4
20	Kings Lynn Town	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
21	Spennymoor Town	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
22	Darlington 1883	5	1	0	4	7	11	3
23	Radcliffe FC	5	1	0	4	3	10	3
24	AFC Telford	5	0	2	3	6	9	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radcliffe FC	Darlington 1883
Marine	0-2 L	2-3 L
Macclesfield	1-2 L	1-2 L
South Shields	2-5 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Darlington 1883 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radcliffe FC

LLLLWLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Marine England National League North	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
22/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
15/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
08/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
25/04	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/04	Hereford FC England National League North	1-3	1-3	10	11	L
14/04	Kidderminster England National League North	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
11/04	South Shields England National League North	1-2	2-5	3	2	L
06/04	AFC Fylde England National League North	0-3	3-4	3	10	L

Darlington 1883

LWLDLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Macclesfield England National League North	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
22/08	Harborough Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	2	0	L
18/08	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
15/08	Bedford Town England National League North	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
08/08	Worksop England National League North	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/04	Oxford City England National League North	0-2	1-3	11	10	L
18/04	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/04	Marine England National League North	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
06/04	South Shields England National League North	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/04	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-0	1-2	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radcliffe FC vs Darlington 1883?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Darlington 1883 win (38%). Probabilities: Radcliffe FC 37%, draw 25%, Darlington 1883 38%.

How many goals are expected in Radcliffe FC vs Darlington 1883?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Radcliffe FC 1.71 · Darlington 1883 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Radcliffe FC vs Darlington 1883?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.