Football · England National League North · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Worksop vs Hereford FC
Team pages: Worksop · Hereford FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Worksop1.63
Hereford FC1.39
1X2
Worksop
Draw
Hereford FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Worksop
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Hereford FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Worksop
0–2
Hereford FC
(2 last)
- Worksop2-3Hereford FC
- Hereford FC2-1Worksop
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Worksop 1567 · Hereford FC 1536
| Worksop | Draw | Hereford FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hereford FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Worksop | Hereford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 3.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Worksop 0–0–2 Hereford FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League North | Worksop | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Hereford FC |
| 20/09/25 England National League North | Hereford FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Worksop |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Shields | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Oxford City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Hereford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Worksop | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Kings Lynn Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Chorley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Bedford Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Darlington 1883 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | AFC Telford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Hednesford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 23 | Marine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Worksop
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Hebburn Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | AFC Telford England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sheff Utd U23 Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Mickleover Sports Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Garforth Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Barnsley FC XI Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | South Normanton Athletic Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Ilkeston Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Retford FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Hereford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Shrewsbury UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/04 | Marine England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 14/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Worksop vs Hereford FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Worksop win (42%). Probabilities: Worksop 42%, draw 27%, Hereford FC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Worksop vs Hereford FC?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Worksop 1.63 · Hereford FC 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Worksop vs Hereford FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.