Football · England National League North · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield

Team pages: Darlington 1883 · Macclesfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Darlington 18831.37

Macclesfield1.87

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Darlington 1883 Draw Macclesfield

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Darlington 1883 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Macclesfield 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Darlington 1883 0–2 Macclesfield (2 last)

Darlington 18831-2Macclesfield
Macclesfield2-1Darlington 1883

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darlington 1883 1429 · Macclesfield 1570

	Darlington 1883	Draw	Macclesfield
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	27%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macclesfield (rating 1429 vs 1570).
H2H favours Macclesfield: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Darlington 1883	Macclesfield
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.5	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +14’	3.40	3.50	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Darlington 1883 0–0–2 Macclesfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 England National League North	Darlington 1883	1-2 HT 0-1	Macclesfield
30/08/25 England National League North	Macclesfield	2-1 HT 1-1	Darlington 1883

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chester	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
2	Oxford City	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
3	Hebburn Town	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
4	Macclesfield	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
4	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
6	Hereford FC	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
7	Harborough Town	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
8	Scarborough Athletic	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	Worksop	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
11	Southport	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
12	Merthyr Town	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
13	Spalding United	4	1	1	2	2	2	4
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
15	Brackley	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
16	Kings Lynn Town	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
17	Spennymoor Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4
18	Marine	4	1	0	3	4	5	3
19	Darlington 1883	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
20	Bedford Town	4	1	0	3	5	9	3
21	Radcliffe FC	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
22	AFC Telford	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
23	Hednesford	4	0	2	2	6	9	2
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Darlington 1883	Macclesfield
Chester	0-1 L	2-1 W
Marine	2-3 L	1-0 W
South Shields	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Macclesfield (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darlington 1883

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Harborough Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	2	0	L
18/08	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
15/08	Bedford Town England National League North	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
08/08	Worksop England National League North	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/04	Oxford City England National League North	0-2	1-3	11	10	L
18/04	AFC Telford England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/04	Marine England National League North	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
06/04	South Shields England National League North	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
03/04	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
28/03	AFC Fylde England National League North	0-3	1-4	5	3	L

Macclesfield

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Brackley England National League North	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
15/08	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
08/08	Marine England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/05	Kidderminster England National League North	0-2	1-3	7	7	L
29/04	Chester England National League North	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
25/04	Radcliffe FC England National League North	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
21/04	Southport England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
18/04	Spennymoor Town England National League North	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
14/04	South Shields England National League North	1-3	1-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Macclesfield win (48%). Probabilities: Darlington 1883 27%, draw 25%, Macclesfield 48%.

How many goals are expected in Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Darlington 1883 1.37 · Macclesfield 1.87), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.