Football · England National League North · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Marine vs Radcliffe FC

Team pages: Marine · Radcliffe FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Marine1.61

Radcliffe FC1.39

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Marine Draw Radcliffe FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Marine 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLLLW

Radcliffe FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Marine 4–2 Radcliffe FC (6 last)

Marine3-0Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC4-1Marine
Radcliffe FC0-1Marine
Marine1-0Radcliffe FC
Radcliffe FC3-2Marine
Marine3-2Radcliffe FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marine 1490 · Radcliffe FC 1452

	Marine	Draw	Radcliffe FC
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marine: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marine	Radcliffe FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +25’	2.15	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marine 4–0–2 Radcliffe FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/01/26 England National League North	Marine	3-0 HT 0-0	Radcliffe FC
06/09/25 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	4-1 HT 3-1	Marine
22/02/25 England National League North	Radcliffe FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Marine
05/10/24 England National League North	Marine	1-0 HT 1-0	Radcliffe FC
17/02/24 England Northern Premier League	Radcliffe FC	3-2 HT 3-1	Marine
26/09/23 England Northern Premier League	Marine	3-2 HT 2-1	Radcliffe FC

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chester	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
2	Oxford City	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
3	Hebburn Town	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
4	Macclesfield	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
4	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
6	Hereford FC	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
7	Harborough Town	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
8	Scarborough Athletic	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
10	Worksop	4	2	0	2	4	6	6
11	Southport	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
12	Merthyr Town	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
13	Spalding United	4	1	1	2	2	2	4
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
15	Brackley	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
16	Kings Lynn Town	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
17	Spennymoor Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4
18	Marine	4	1	0	3	4	5	3
19	Darlington 1883	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
20	Bedford Town	4	1	0	3	5	9	3
21	Radcliffe FC	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
22	AFC Telford	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
23	Hednesford	4	0	2	2	6	9	2
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marine	Radcliffe FC
Hereford FC	0-1 L	0-3 L
Macclesfield	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Marine (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marine

LWLLLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Kings Lynn Town England National League North	0-1	4-1	2	3	W
18/08	Chorley England National League North	0-2	0-2	5	6	L
15/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
08/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
25/04	Spennymoor Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
21/04	Hereford FC England National League North	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
18/04	Alfreton Town England National League North	1-0	2-3	2	3	L
14/04	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	1-3	8	7	L
11/04	Darlington 1883 England National League North	2-1	3-2	4	3	W
08/04	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

Radcliffe FC

DLLLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
18/08	Hereford FC England National League North	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
15/08	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
08/08	Spalding United England National League North	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
25/04	Macclesfield England National League North	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/04	Hereford FC England National League North	1-3	1-3	10	11	L
14/04	Kidderminster England National League North	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
11/04	South Shields England National League North	1-2	2-5	3	2	L
06/04	AFC Fylde England National League North	0-3	3-4	3	10	L
03/04	Curzon Ashton England National League North	1-0	3-3	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marine vs Radcliffe FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marine win (42%). Probabilities: Marine 42%, draw 26%, Radcliffe FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Marine vs Radcliffe FC?

The model expects 3 goals (Marine 1.61 · Radcliffe FC 1.39), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marine vs Radcliffe FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.