Prediction: Harborough Town vs Darlington 1883
Team pages: Harborough Town · Darlington 1883
| Harborough Town | Draw | Darlington 1883 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harborough Town (rating 1556 vs 1467).
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harborough Town | Darlington 1883 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 8.2 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Shields | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Oxford City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Hereford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Worksop | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Kings Lynn Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Chorley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Bedford Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Darlington 1883 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | AFC Telford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Hednesford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 23 | Marine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harborough Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Morecambe England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Quorn UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Real Bedford UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Darlington 1883
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Chester England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Bedford Town England National League North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Worksop England National League North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Carlisle UK Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Stockton Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Redcar Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harborough Town vs Darlington 1883?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harborough Town win (45%). Probabilities: Harborough Town 45%, draw 25%, Darlington 1883 30%.
How many goals are expected in Harborough Town vs Darlington 1883?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Harborough Town 1.79 · Darlington 1883 1.44), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Harborough Town vs Darlington 1883?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.