Football · England National League North · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City
Team pages: Spennymoor Town · Oxford City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Spennymoor Town1.29
Oxford City1.13
1X2
Spennymoor Town
Draw
Oxford City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spennymoor Town
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Oxford City
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spennymoor Town
2–1–1
Oxford City
(4 last)
- Spennymoor Town1-1Oxford City
- Oxford City1-2Spennymoor Town
- Spennymoor Town1-0Oxford City
- Oxford City3-0Spennymoor Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spennymoor Town 1512 · Oxford City 1528
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Oxford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Spennymoor Town: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spennymoor Town | Oxford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.3 | 1.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spennymoor Town 2–1–1 Oxford City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 England National League North | Spennymoor Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Oxford City |
| 23/08/25 England National League North | Oxford City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Spennymoor Town |
| 26/04/25 England National League North | Spennymoor Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oxford City |
| 21/12/24 England National League North | Oxford City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Spennymoor Town |
Standings · England National League North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Shields | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Hebburn Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Oxford City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Hereford FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Worksop | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Harborough Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Merthyr Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Spalding United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Kings Lynn Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Spennymoor Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Chorley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Bedford Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Darlington 1883 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Southport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | AFC Telford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 22 | Hednesford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 23 | Marine | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spennymoor Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Morecambe England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gateshead Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Halifax Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Bishop Auckland Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hartlepool Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Seaton Carew FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Blyth Spartans Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
Oxford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Harborough Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Spalding United England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Slough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Briton Ferry UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 18/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spennymoor Town win (40%). Probabilities: Spennymoor Town 40%, draw 28%, Oxford City 32%.
How many goals are expected in Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Spennymoor Town 1.29 · Oxford City 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.