Football · England National League South · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Slough vs Walton & Hersham

Team pages: Slough · Walton & Hersham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Slough1.61

Walton & Hersham1.38

1X2

42% 25% 32%

Slough Draw Walton & Hersham

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Slough 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLLL

Walton & Hersham 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWLLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slough 1395 · Walton & Hersham 1431

	Slough	Draw	Walton & Hersham
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slough	Walton & Hersham
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.70

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +5’	2.10	3.70	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	14	9	4	1	35	10	31
2	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
3	Maidstone Utd	15	9	2	4	26	18	29
4	Salisbury FC	14	8	4	2	25	10	28
5	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34	23	27
6	Farnham	15	8	2	5	29	19	26
7	Billericay Town	13	7	4	2	32	16	25
8	Tonbridge Angels	15	7	3	5	27	16	24
9	Dag & Red	15	7	3	5	13	11	24
10	Horsham	15	5	7	3	21	16	22
11	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
12	Chelmsford	14	4	9	1	21	14	21
13	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22	17	20
14	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
15	Weston Super Mare	14	5	3	6	21	21	18
16	Farnborough	15	5	2	8	12	31	17
17	Braintree Town	14	5	1	8	21	34	16
18	AFC Totton	15	5	1	9	14	27	16
19	Maidenhead Utd	15	3	6	6	14	19	15
20	Hemel Hempstead	15	3	6	6	14	22	15
21	Chesham	14	3	2	9	20	32	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	15	2	3	10	18	36	9
23	Walton & Hersham	14	2	2	10	10	33	8
24	Slough	15	1	1	13	15	39	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slough	Walton & Hersham
Truro City	1-3 L	1-1 D
Dorking Wanderers	1-3 L	1-4 L
Horsham	1-2 L	0-1 L
Torquay	1-5 L	0-3 L
Ebbsfleet United	1-1 D	0-2 L
AFC Totton	1-0 W	1-0 W
Salisbury FC	1-5 L	0-2 L
Braintree Town	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Walton & Hersham (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slough

LLWLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-2	6	9	L
27/10	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
24/10	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-0	1-3	0	4	L
17/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Torquay England National League South	0-0	1-5	5	4	L
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L

Walton & Hersham

LLLDDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Torquay England National League South	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
27/10	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
24/10	Horsham England National League South	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
10/10	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
06/10	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Truro City England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-3	1-5	4	2	L
29/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-2	1-4	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slough vs Walton & Hersham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slough win (42%). Probabilities: Slough 42%, draw 25%, Walton & Hersham 32%.

How many goals are expected in Slough vs Walton & Hersham?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Slough 1.61 · Walton & Hersham 1.38), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Slough vs Walton & Hersham?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.