Football · England National League South · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Weston Super Mare vs Braintree Town

Team pages: Weston Super Mare · Braintree Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Weston Super Mare2.1

Braintree Town1.14

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Weston Super Mare Draw Braintree Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Weston Super Mare 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDLLL

Braintree Town 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Weston Super Mare 1–3 Braintree Town (4 last)

Weston Super Mare0-1Braintree Town
Braintree Town2-0Weston Super Mare
Weston Super Mare1-2Braintree Town
Braintree Town0-1Weston Super Mare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Weston Super Mare 1476 · Braintree Town 1468

	Weston Super Mare	Draw	Braintree Town
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Braintree Town: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Weston Super Mare	Braintree Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +7’	1.53	3.90	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Weston Super Mare 1–0–3 Braintree Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/24 England National League South	Weston Super Mare	0-1 HT 0-0	Braintree Town
21/10/23 England National League South	Braintree Town	2-0 HT 0-0	Weston Super Mare
27/03/18 England National League South	Weston Super Mare	1-2 HT 0-0	Braintree Town
18/11/17 England National League South	Braintree Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Weston Super Mare

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	14	9	4	1	35	10	31
2	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
3	Maidstone Utd	15	9	2	4	26	18	29
4	Salisbury FC	14	8	4	2	25	10	28
5	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34	23	27
6	Farnham	15	8	2	5	29	19	26
7	Billericay Town	13	7	4	2	32	16	25
8	Tonbridge Angels	15	7	3	5	27	16	24
9	Dag & Red	15	7	3	5	13	11	24
10	Horsham	15	5	7	3	21	16	22
11	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
12	Chelmsford	14	4	9	1	21	14	21
13	Torquay	14	5	5	4	22	17	20
14	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
15	Weston Super Mare	14	5	3	6	21	21	18
16	Farnborough	15	5	2	8	12	31	17
17	Braintree Town	14	5	1	8	21	34	16
18	AFC Totton	15	5	1	9	14	27	16
19	Maidenhead Utd	15	3	6	6	14	19	15
20	Hemel Hempstead	15	3	6	6	14	22	15
21	Chesham	14	3	2	9	20	32	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	15	2	3	10	18	36	9
23	Walton & Hersham	14	2	2	10	10	33	8
24	Slough	15	1	1	13	15	39	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Weston Super Mare	Braintree Town
Dorking Wanderers	0-2 L	3-4 L
Farnborough	1-2 L	0-2 L
Farnham	2-3 L	0-6 L
Dag & Red	1-0 W	2-1 W
Maidstone Utd	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Weston Super Mare

WDLWWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
28/10	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	1-2	8	3	L
17/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-4	1-6	3	5	L
10/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Farnham England National League South	1-3	2-3	5	3	L
12/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
08/09	AFC Totton England National League South	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
05/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
31/08	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
29/08	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	3-1	4	3	W

Braintree Town

LWWLLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
27/10	Dag & Red England National League South	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
24/10	Farnham England National League South	0-2	0-6	5	3	L
10/10	Truro City England National League South	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
06/10	Walton & Hersham England National League South	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
26/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-2	3-4	6	5	L
15/09	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	2-3	6	3	L
12/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	Slough England National League South	1-1	2-1	11	8	W
31/08	Farnborough England National League South	0-0	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Weston Super Mare vs Braintree Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Weston Super Mare win (58%). Probabilities: Weston Super Mare 58%, draw 23%, Braintree Town 19%.

How many goals are expected in Weston Super Mare vs Braintree Town?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Weston Super Mare 2.1 · Braintree Town 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Weston Super Mare vs Braintree Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.