Football · England National League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Braintree Town vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: Braintree Town · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Braintree Town2.1

Hampton & Richmond1.86

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Braintree Town Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Braintree Town 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Hampton & Richmond 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Braintree Town 4–1–1 Hampton & Richmond (6 last)

Braintree Town3-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-1Braintree Town
Braintree Town1-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond0-3Braintree Town
Braintree Town0-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-4Braintree Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Braintree Town 1448 · Hampton & Richmond 1447

	Braintree Town	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	43%	22%	34%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Braintree Town: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Braintree Town	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +3’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Braintree Town 4–1–1 Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/01/24 England National League South	Braintree Town	3-1 HT 2-0	Hampton & Richmond
05/12/23 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-1 HT 0-0	Braintree Town
04/03/23 England National League South	Braintree Town	1-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
29/10/22 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-3 HT 0-1	Braintree Town
02/04/22 England National League South	Braintree Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
18/01/22 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-4 HT 1-3	Braintree Town

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29	7	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24	17	26
4	Salisbury FC	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
6	Farnham	13	7	2	4	27	18	23
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13	11	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27	16	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29	21	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16	16	19
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18	11	18
14	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13	24	16
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14	17	15
18	Maidenhead Utd	14	3	5	6	14	19	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
20	Braintree Town	13	4	1	8	20	34	13
21	Chesham	13	3	1	9	18	30	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16	32	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10	30	8
24	Slough	14	1	1	12	14	37	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Braintree Town	Hampton & Richmond
Dag & Red	2-1 W	0-1 L
Truro City	1-2 L	3-4 L
Billericay Town	2-3 L	2-2 D
Maidstone Utd	2-1 W	1-4 L
Slough	2-1 W	5-3 W
Farnborough	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hampton & Richmond (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Braintree Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Dag & Red England National League South	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
24/10	Farnham England National League South	0-2	0-6	5	3	L
10/10	Truro City England National League South	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
06/10	Walton & Hersham England National League South	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
26/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-2	3-4	6	5	L
15/09	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	2-3	6	3	L
12/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	Slough England National League South	1-1	2-1	11	8	W
31/08	Farnborough England National League South	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
29/08	Dover England National League South	1-2	3-3	3	4	D

Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Billericay Town England National League South	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/10	Truro City England National League South	2-1	3-4	1	3	L
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Braintree Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Braintree Town win (43%). Probabilities: Braintree Town 43%, draw 24%, Hampton & Richmond 33%.

How many goals are expected in Braintree Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Braintree Town 2.1 · Hampton & Richmond 1.86), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Braintree Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.