Football · England National League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Farnborough vs Horsham

Team pages: Farnborough · Horsham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Farnborough1.23

Horsham1.42

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Farnborough Draw Horsham

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Farnborough 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLDLWL

Horsham 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLWDWD

Head-to-head

Farnborough 1–1–0 Horsham (2 last)

Farnborough2-0Horsham
Horsham2-2Farnborough

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Farnborough 1462 · Horsham 1482

	Farnborough	Draw	Horsham
Our model	31%	28%	40%
Market	33%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Farnborough	Horsham
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7	3.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +14’	2.75	3.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Farnborough 1–1–0 Horsham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England National League South	Farnborough	2-0 HT 0-0	Horsham
30/12/25 England National League South	Horsham	2-2 HT 1-2	Farnborough

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29	7	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24	17	26
4	Salisbury FC	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
6	Farnham	13	7	2	4	27	18	23
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13	11	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27	16	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29	21	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16	16	19
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18	11	18
14	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13	24	16
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14	17	15
18	Maidenhead Utd	14	3	5	6	14	19	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
20	Braintree Town	13	4	1	8	20	34	13
21	Chesham	13	3	1	9	18	30	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16	32	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10	30	8
24	Slough	14	1	1	12	14	37	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Farnborough	Horsham
Folkestone Invicta	0-2 L	1-1 D
Dag & Red	2-0 W	1-1 D
Walton & Hersham	2-2 D	1-0 W
Maidenhead Utd	1-1 D	1-1 D
Chesham	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Farnborough

WDWLLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
17/10	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
10/10	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	0-4	8	2	L
26/09	Walton & Hersham England National League South	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Dover England National League South	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
08/09	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-2	0-4	10	3	L
31/08	Braintree Town England National League South	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
22/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
19/08	Chesham England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	0	W

Horsham

LDDLDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	12	0	D
24/10	Walton & Hersham England National League South	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
20/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
17/10	Slough England National League South	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
10/10	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
26/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
12/09	Chesham England National League South	0-1	1-4	2	11	L
08/09	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Dag & Red England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
29/08	Farnham England National League South	1-2	1-2	13	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Farnborough vs Horsham?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Horsham win (41%). Probabilities: Farnborough 32%, draw 27%, Horsham 41%.

How many goals are expected in Farnborough vs Horsham?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Farnborough 1.23 · Horsham 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Farnborough vs Horsham?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.