Football · England National League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Maidstone Utd vs Slough

Team pages: Maidstone Utd · Slough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Maidstone Utd2.41

Slough0.95

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Maidstone Utd Draw Slough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Maidstone Utd 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWDL

Slough 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Maidstone Utd 2–1–3 Slough (6 last)

Maidstone Utd1-2Slough
Slough1-4Maidstone Utd
Slough1-0Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd1-1Slough
Slough2-1Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd2-1Slough

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maidstone Utd 1516 · Slough 1401

	Maidstone Utd	Draw	Slough
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maidstone Utd (rating 1516 vs 1401).
H2H favours Slough: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maidstone Utd	Slough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.7	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +9’	1.30	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidstone Utd 2–1–3 Slough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	1-2 HT 1-0	Slough
25/10/25 England National League South	Slough	1-4 HT 0-2	Maidstone Utd
08/02/25 England National League South	Slough	1-0 HT 0-0	Maidstone Utd
19/10/24 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	1-1 HT 1-0	Slough
20/01/24 England National League South	Slough	2-1 HT 1-0	Maidstone Utd
05/08/23 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	2-1 HT 1-1	Slough

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29	7	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24	17	26
4	Salisbury FC	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
6	Farnham	13	7	2	4	27	18	23
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13	11	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27	16	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29	21	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16	16	19
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18	11	18
14	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13	24	16
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14	17	15
18	Maidenhead Utd	14	3	5	6	14	19	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
20	Braintree Town	13	4	1	8	20	34	13
21	Chesham	13	3	1	9	18	30	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16	32	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10	30	8
24	Slough	14	1	1	12	14	37	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maidstone Utd	Slough
Ebbsfleet United	1-3 L	1-1 D
Torquay	1-1 D	1-5 L
Horsham	2-1 W	1-2 L
Truro City	1-2 L	1-3 L
Braintree Town	1-2 L	1-2 L
Salisbury FC	2-1 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Maidstone Utd (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maidstone Utd

WWWWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
24/10	Torquay England National League South	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
17/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
10/10	Horsham England National League South	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
26/09	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
12/09	Braintree Town England National League South	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
08/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/09	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
31/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
29/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-1	2-1	8	6	W

Slough

LLLWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
24/10	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-0	1-3	0	4	L
17/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Torquay England National League South	0-0	1-5	5	4	L
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-1	0	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maidstone Utd vs Slough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maidstone Utd win (69%). Probabilities: Maidstone Utd 69%, draw 18%, Slough 13%.

How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Slough?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Maidstone Utd 2.41 · Slough 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maidstone Utd vs Slough?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.