Football · England National League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury FC

Team pages: Tonbridge Angels · Salisbury FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Tonbridge Angels1.47

Salisbury FC1.44

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Tonbridge Angels Draw Salisbury FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tonbridge Angels 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWWDW

Salisbury FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Tonbridge Angels 3–1 Salisbury FC (4 last)

Tonbridge Angels3-2Salisbury FC
Salisbury FC1-3Tonbridge Angels
Salisbury FC2-0Tonbridge Angels
Tonbridge Angels1-0Salisbury FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tonbridge Angels 1545 · Salisbury FC 1594

	Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Salisbury FC
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salisbury FC (rating 1545 vs 1594).
H2H favours Tonbridge Angels: 3-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tonbridge Angels	Salisbury FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	3.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +2’	2.40	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tonbridge Angels 3–0–1 Salisbury FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 England National League South	Tonbridge Angels	3-2 HT 1-0	Salisbury FC
06/09/25 England National League South	Salisbury FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Tonbridge Angels
29/03/25 England National League South	Salisbury FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Tonbridge Angels
31/08/24 England National League South	Tonbridge Angels	1-0 HT 1-0	Salisbury FC

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29	7	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24	17	26
4	Salisbury FC	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
6	Farnham	13	7	2	4	27	18	23
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13	11	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27	16	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29	21	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16	16	19
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18	11	18
14	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13	24	16
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14	17	15
18	Maidenhead Utd	14	3	5	6	14	19	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
20	Braintree Town	13	4	1	8	20	34	13
21	Chesham	13	3	1	9	18	30	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16	32	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10	30	8
24	Slough	14	1	1	12	14	37	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tonbridge Angels	Salisbury FC
Folkestone Invicta	2-0 W	2-0 W
Chelmsford	3-3 D	1-1 D
Ebbsfleet United	1-2 L	1-1 D
Maidstone Utd	0-1 L	1-2 L
Walton & Hersham	5-1 W	2-0 W
Billericay Town	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Salisbury FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tonbridge Angels

DWWLDLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-0	2-0	8	7	W
24/10	Chelmsford England National League South	0-1	3-3	4	3	D
17/10	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
10/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
26/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
12/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
08/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
05/09	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
31/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	3-0	5-1	9	2	W
29/08	Billericay Town England National League South	1-2	2-2	9	6	D

Salisbury FC

LWDWDWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Walton & Hersham England National League South	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
24/10	Dover England National League South	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
10/10	Farnham England National League South	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
26/09	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	2-0	2-0	9	0	W
15/09	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
12/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
08/09	Slough England National League South	2-1	5-1	3	3	W
05/09	Chelmsford England National League South	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
31/08	Billericay Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
29/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tonbridge Angels win (37%). Probabilities: Tonbridge Angels 37%, draw 27%, Salisbury FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury FC?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Tonbridge Angels 1.47 · Salisbury FC 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tonbridge Angels vs Salisbury FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.