Football · England National League South · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Walton & Hersham vs Torquay

Team pages: Walton & Hersham · Torquay

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Walton & Hersham0.93

Torquay2.01

1X2

16% 22% 62%

Walton & Hersham Draw Torquay

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Walton & Hersham 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDWWLL

Torquay 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDLWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Walton & Hersham 1439 · Torquay 1504

	Walton & Hersham	Draw	Torquay
Our model	16%	23%	62%
Market	16%	21%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torquay (rating 1439 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Walton & Hersham	Torquay
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.20

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05	5.50	4.20	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	12	8	4	0	29	7	28
2	Truro City	13	8	3	2	24	12	27
3	Maidstone Utd	14	8	2	4	24	17	26
4	Salisbury FC	13	7	4	2	23	9	25
5	Tonbridge Angels	14	7	3	4	26	14	24
6	Farnham	13	7	2	4	27	18	23
7	Dag & Red	14	7	2	5	13	11	23
8	Billericay Town	12	6	4	2	27	16	22
9	Dorking Wanderers	13	5	6	2	29	21	21
10	Folkestone Invicta	14	5	4	5	20	16	19
11	Dover	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
12	Horsham	14	4	7	3	16	16	19
13	Chelmsford	12	3	9	0	18	11	18
14	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
15	Torquay	13	4	5	4	19	17	17
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13	24	16
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14	17	15
18	Maidenhead Utd	14	3	5	6	14	19	14
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
20	Braintree Town	13	4	1	8	20	34	13
21	Chesham	13	3	1	9	18	30	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	13	2	3	8	16	32	9
23	Walton & Hersham	13	2	2	9	10	30	8
24	Slough	14	1	1	12	14	37	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Walton & Hersham	Torquay
AFC Totton	1-0 W	0-1 L
Dorking Wanderers	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Walton & Hersham

LLLLDDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
24/10	Horsham England National League South	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
10/10	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
06/10	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Truro City England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-3	1-5	4	2	L
29/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
22/08	Chesham England National League South	0-1	0-2	4	5	L

Torquay

LDLWWDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
24/10	Maidstone Utd England National League South	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Slough England National League South	0-0	5-1	6	4	W
26/09	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
12/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	2-2	6	8	D
08/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	4-0	2	9	W
05/09	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Farnham England National League South	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
29/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
22/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Walton & Hersham vs Torquay?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Torquay win (62%). Probabilities: Walton & Hersham 16%, draw 22%, Torquay 62%.

How many goals are expected in Walton & Hersham vs Torquay?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Walton & Hersham 0.93 · Torquay 2.01), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Walton & Hersham vs Torquay?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.