Football · England National League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Billericay Town vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: Billericay Town · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Billericay Town2.6

Hampton & Richmond1.22

1X2

66% 19% 15%

Billericay Town Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Billericay Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWDWWW

Hampton & Richmond 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Billericay Town 0–1–5 Hampton & Richmond (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond2-0Billericay Town
Billericay Town0-1Hampton & Richmond
Billericay Town2-6Hampton & Richmond
Billericay Town1-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-1Billericay Town
Billericay Town1-3Hampton & Richmond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Billericay Town 1543 · Hampton & Richmond 1435

	Billericay Town	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	66%	18%	15%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Billericay Town (rating 1543 vs 1435).
H2H favours Hampton & Richmond: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Billericay Town	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +3’	1.36	4.75	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Billericay Town 0–1–5 Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/22 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-0 HT 2-0	Billericay Town
20/11/21 England National League South	Billericay Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
28/11/20 England National League South	Billericay Town	2-6 HT 1-3	Hampton & Richmond
26/11/19 England FA Trophy	Billericay Town	1-2	Hampton & Richmond
17/08/19 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-1 HT 1-0	Billericay Town
06/04/19 England National League South	Billericay Town	1-3 HT 0-2	Hampton & Richmond

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23	14	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26	6	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21	11	24
4	Dag & Red	13	7	2	4	12	9	23
5	Salisbury FC	12	6	4	2	21	9	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24	14	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26	18	20
9	Farnham	12	6	2	4	23	16	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20	14	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19	18	19
12	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15	15	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19	16	17
15	Chelmsford	11	2	9	0	17	11	15
16	Hemel Hempstead	13	3	5	5	11	14	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	13	3	4	6	13	18	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12	24	13
20	Chesham	12	3	1	8	16	26	10
21	Braintree Town	12	3	1	8	18	33	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14	30	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10	28	8
24	Slough	13	1	1	11	13	34	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Billericay Town	Hampton & Richmond
Farnborough	4-0 W	2-0 W
Torquay	3-0 W	1-1 D
AFC Totton	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Billericay Town (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Billericay Town

LWDLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/09	Torquay England National League South	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/09	Braintree Town England National League South	2-0	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
08/09	Chesham England National League South	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-2	3-3	6	4	D
31/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/08	Farnham England National League South	3-1	4-2	2	2	W
15/08	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

Hampton & Richmond

LWDLLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Truro City England National League South	2-1	3-4	1	3	L
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Billericay Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Billericay Town win (66%). Probabilities: Billericay Town 66%, draw 19%, Hampton & Richmond 15%.

How many goals are expected in Billericay Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Billericay Town 2.6 · Hampton & Richmond 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Billericay Town vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.