Football · England National League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United

Team pages: Maidstone Utd · Ebbsfleet United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Maidstone Utd1.23

Ebbsfleet United1.41

1X2

32% 27% 40%

Maidstone Utd Draw Ebbsfleet United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Maidstone Utd 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLWWD

Ebbsfleet United 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Maidstone Utd 4–1–1 Ebbsfleet United (6 last)

Maidstone Utd3-0Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United1-0Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd3-0Ebbsfleet United
Maidstone Utd4-0Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United2-3Maidstone Utd
Ebbsfleet United0-0Maidstone Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maidstone Utd 1546 · Ebbsfleet United 1574

	Maidstone Utd	Draw	Ebbsfleet United
Our model	32%	29%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Maidstone Utd: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maidstone Utd	Ebbsfleet United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	3.6 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +2’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidstone Utd 4–1–1 Ebbsfleet United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	3-0 HT 2-0	Ebbsfleet United
04/11/25 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	1-0 HT 0-0	Maidstone Utd
12/10/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Maidstone Utd	3-0 HT 2-0	Ebbsfleet United
25/01/22 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	4-0 HT 1-0	Ebbsfleet United
23/11/21 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	2-3 HT 2-2	Maidstone Utd
17/11/20 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	0-0 HT 0-0	Maidstone Utd

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23	14	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26	6	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21	11	24
4	Dag & Red	13	7	2	4	12	9	23
5	Salisbury FC	12	6	4	2	21	9	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24	14	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26	18	20
9	Farnham	12	6	2	4	23	16	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20	14	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19	18	19
12	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15	15	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19	16	17
15	Chelmsford	11	2	9	0	17	11	15
16	Hemel Hempstead	13	3	5	5	11	14	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	13	3	4	6	13	18	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12	24	13
20	Chesham	12	3	1	8	16	26	10
21	Braintree Town	12	3	1	8	18	33	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14	30	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10	28	8
24	Slough	13	1	1	11	13	34	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maidstone Utd	Ebbsfleet United
Maidenhead Utd	2-1 W	4-0 W
Horsham	2-1 W	2-2 D
Tonbridge Angels	1-0 W	2-1 W
Weston Super Mare	1-0 W	6-1 W
Hampton & Richmond	4-1 W	2-0 W
Salisbury FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Maidstone Utd (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maidstone Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Torquay England National League South	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
17/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
10/10	Horsham England National League South	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
26/09	Truro City England National League South	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
12/09	Braintree Town England National League South	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
08/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/09	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
31/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-0	4-1	5	3	W
29/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	3-2	7	3	W

Ebbsfleet United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
20/10	Horsham England National League South	0-1	2-2	10	5	D
17/10	Weston Super Mare England National League South	4-0	6-1	10	5	W
13/10	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	5-0	5	5	W
10/10	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
06/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
29/09	Slough England National League South	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
26/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
12/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
08/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ebbsfleet United win (40%). Probabilities: Maidstone Utd 32%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 40%.

How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Maidstone Utd 1.23 · Ebbsfleet United 1.41), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.