Football · England National League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta

Team pages: Tonbridge Angels · Folkestone Invicta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Tonbridge Angels1.47

Folkestone Invicta1.29

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Tonbridge Angels Draw Folkestone Invicta

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tonbridge Angels 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDLWWD

Folkestone Invicta 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLLDWW

Head-to-head

Tonbridge Angels 3–2–1 Folkestone Invicta (6 last)

Tonbridge Angels0-0Folkestone Invicta
Tonbridge Angels0-0Folkestone Invicta
Folkestone Invicta0-1Tonbridge Angels
Folkestone Invicta0-3Tonbridge Angels
Tonbridge Angels1-3Folkestone Invicta
Folkestone Invicta0-1Tonbridge Angels

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tonbridge Angels 1532 · Folkestone Invicta 1489

	Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Folkestone Invicta
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tonbridge Angels (rating 1532 vs 1489).
H2H favours Tonbridge Angels: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tonbridge Angels	Folkestone Invicta
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +12’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tonbridge Angels 3–2–1 Folkestone Invicta

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/25 UK Friendlies	Tonbridge Angels	0-0 HT 0-0	Folkestone Invicta
03/08/24 Club Friendly List	Tonbridge Angels	0-0 HT 0-0	Folkestone Invicta
04/07/23 Club Friendly List	Folkestone Invicta	0-1 HT 0-0	Tonbridge Angels
05/07/22 Club Friendly List	Folkestone Invicta	0-3 HT 0-2	Tonbridge Angels
26/12/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Tonbridge Angels	1-3	Folkestone Invicta
27/08/18 England Isthmian Premier Division	Folkestone Invicta	0-1	Tonbridge Angels

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23	14	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26	6	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21	11	24
4	Dag & Red	13	7	2	4	12	9	23
5	Salisbury FC	12	6	4	2	21	9	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24	14	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26	18	20
9	Farnham	12	6	2	4	23	16	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20	14	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19	18	19
12	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15	15	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19	16	17
15	Chelmsford	11	2	9	0	17	11	15
16	Hemel Hempstead	13	3	5	5	11	14	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	13	3	4	6	13	18	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12	24	13
20	Chesham	12	3	1	8	16	26	10
21	Braintree Town	12	3	1	8	18	33	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14	30	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10	28	8
24	Slough	13	1	1	11	13	34	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tonbridge Angels	Folkestone Invicta
Hemel Hempstead	1-0 W	2-0 W
Ebbsfleet United	1-2 L	0-1 L
Farnborough	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tonbridge Angels

LDWWLDLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chelmsford England National League South	0-1	3-3	4	3	D
17/10	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
10/10	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
26/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
12/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
08/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
05/09	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
31/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	3-0	5-1	9	2	W
29/08	Billericay Town England National League South	1-2	2-2	9	6	D
22/08	Truro City England National League South	0-0	0-2	6	3	L

Folkestone Invicta

WWLDLLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
17/10	AFC Totton England National League South	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
10/10	Weston Super Mare England National League South	1-0	1-1	0	1	D
06/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
26/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
12/09	Farnham England National League South	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
08/09	Horsham England National League South	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Torquay England National League South	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
31/08	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
29/08	Slough England National League South	2-0	2-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tonbridge Angels win (41%). Probabilities: Tonbridge Angels 41%, draw 27%, Folkestone Invicta 32%.

How many goals are expected in Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Tonbridge Angels 1.47 · Folkestone Invicta 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tonbridge Angels vs Folkestone Invicta?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.