Football · England National League South · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Truro City vs Slough

Team pages: Truro City · Slough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Truro City2.49

Slough0.74

1X2

76% 15% 9%

Truro City Draw Slough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Truro City 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWDWW

Slough 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDLLL

Head-to-head

Truro City 3–2–1 Slough (6 last)

Truro City2-0Slough
Slough1-1Truro City
Truro City3-2Slough
Slough4-0Truro City
Truro City3-3Slough
Slough1-2Truro City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Truro City 1582 · Slough 1378

	Truro City	Draw	Slough
Our model	75%	17%	8%
Market	76%	14%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Truro City (rating 1582 vs 1378).
H2H favours Truro City: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Truro City	Slough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.25

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:17 +5’	1.18	6.25	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Truro City 3–2–1 Slough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/25 England National League South	Truro City	2-0 HT 1-0	Slough
02/11/24 England National League South	Slough	1-1 HT 0-0	Truro City
29/03/24 England National League South	Truro City	3-2 HT 1-0	Slough
07/11/23 England National League South	Slough	4-0 HT 3-0	Truro City
27/04/19 England National League South	Truro City	3-3 HT 1-1	Slough
11/12/18 England National League South	Slough	1-2 HT 1-2	Truro City

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	13	8	2	3	23	14	26
2	Ebbsfleet United	11	7	4	0	26	6	25
3	Truro City	12	7	3	2	21	11	24
4	Dag & Red	13	7	2	4	12	9	23
5	Salisbury FC	12	6	4	2	21	9	22
6	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
7	Tonbridge Angels	13	6	3	4	24	14	21
8	Dorking Wanderers	12	5	5	2	26	18	20
9	Farnham	12	6	2	4	23	16	20
10	Folkestone Invicta	13	5	4	4	20	14	19
11	Dover	12	5	4	3	19	18	19
12	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
13	Horsham	13	4	6	3	15	15	18
14	Torquay	12	4	5	3	19	16	17
15	Chelmsford	11	2	9	0	17	11	15
16	Hemel Hempstead	13	3	5	5	11	14	14
17	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10	19	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	13	3	4	6	13	18	13
19	AFC Totton	13	4	1	8	12	24	13
20	Chesham	12	3	1	8	16	26	10
21	Braintree Town	12	3	1	8	18	33	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	12	2	2	8	14	30	8
23	Walton & Hersham	12	2	2	8	10	28	8
24	Slough	13	1	1	11	13	34	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Truro City	Slough
Braintree Town	2-1 W	1-2 L
Salisbury FC	0-1 L	1-5 L
Dorking Wanderers	0-1 L	1-3 L
Dag & Red	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Truro City (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Truro City

WWLWDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-2	4-3	2	3	W
10/10	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
06/10	Farnham England National League South	2-0	2-2	7	2	D
26/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
15/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
12/09	Walton & Hersham England National League South	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Chesham England National League South	1-1	3-1	11	1	W
31/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
29/08	Dag & Red England National League South	1-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	2-0	4	3	W

Slough

LLLLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-0	1-3	0	4	L
17/10	Horsham England National League South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Torquay England National League South	0-0	1-5	5	4	L
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
29/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Truro City vs Slough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Truro City win (76%). Probabilities: Truro City 76%, draw 15%, Slough 9%.

How many goals are expected in Truro City vs Slough?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Truro City 2.49 · Slough 0.74), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Truro City vs Slough?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.