Football · England National League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham

Team pages: AFC Totton · Walton & Hersham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

AFC Totton1.94

Walton & Hersham1.02

1X2

58% 23% 19%

AFC Totton Draw Walton & Hersham

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Totton 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDWLLL

Walton & Hersham 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDDW

Head-to-head

AFC Totton 2–1–1 Walton & Hersham (4 last)

Walton & Hersham3-2AFC Totton
AFC Totton1-0Walton & Hersham
AFC Totton3-0Walton & Hersham
Walton & Hersham2-2AFC Totton

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Totton 1424 · Walton & Hersham 1411

	AFC Totton	Draw	Walton & Hersham
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AFC Totton: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Totton	Walton & Hersham
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	0.9 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	1.5 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.55▼	Pinn 1.62 ★
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.10
2	3.50 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +2’	1.80	3.75	3.50
12:27 +14’	1.55▼	4.00▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:06 +155’	1.62	4.10	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Totton 2–1–1 Walton & Hersham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Walton & Hersham	3-2	AFC Totton
10/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	AFC Totton	1-0	Walton & Hersham
01/04/24 England Southern Premier League South	AFC Totton	3-0	Walton & Hersham
01/01/24 England Southern Premier League South	Walton & Hersham	2-2 HT 0-0	AFC Totton

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
2	Dag & Red	10	6	1	3	10	7	19
3	Salisbury FC	10	5	3	2	18	7	18
4	Truro City	10	5	3	2	15	7	18
5	Billericay Town	10	5	3	2	21	14	18
6	Weston Super Mare	10	5	2	3	18	10	17
7	Farnham	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17	16	17
9	Dorking Wanderers	10	4	4	2	22	16	16
10	Tonbridge Angels	10	4	2	4	19	11	14
11	Maidenhead Utd	10	3	4	3	12	11	13
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10	10	13
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13	14	13
14	Ebbsfleet United	6	3	3	0	7	3	12
15	Folkestone Invicta	10	3	3	4	15	12	12
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9	8	11
17	Horsham	9	2	5	2	9	10	11
18	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8	13	11
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16	19	10
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8	15	10
21	Braintree Town	10	3	1	6	17	25	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
23	Walton & Hersham	10	1	2	7	9	27	5
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10	24	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Totton	Walton & Hersham
Chesham	0-4 L	0-2 L
Dorking Wanderers	0-3 L	1-4 L
Farnborough	1-6 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Walton & Hersham (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Totton

LWWLLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Dover England National League South	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
12/09	Slough England National League South	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
08/09	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
05/09	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	3-0	4-1	7	7	W
31/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
29/08	Chesham England National League South	0-3	0-4	6	4	L
18/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Billericay Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
08/08	Farnham England National League South	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/04	Farnborough England National League South	1-3	1-6	5	5	L

Walton & Hersham

LLLLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
26/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Truro City England National League South	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
31/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-3	1-5	4	2	L
29/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
22/08	Chesham England National League South	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
18/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
15/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
08/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-3	1-5	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Totton win (58%). Probabilities: AFC Totton 58%, draw 23%, Walton & Hersham 19%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham?

The model expects 2.97 goals (AFC Totton 1.94 · Walton & Hersham 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Totton vs Walton & Hersham?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.