Football · England National League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United

Team pages: Hampton & Richmond · Ebbsfleet United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Hampton & Richmond1.2

Ebbsfleet United1.99

1X2

22% 24% 55%

Hampton & Richmond Draw Ebbsfleet United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hampton & Richmond 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLWDL

Ebbsfleet United 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDDWDW

Head-to-head

Hampton & Richmond 1–5 Ebbsfleet United (6 last)

Ebbsfleet United4-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond3-2Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United6-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-2Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United1-0Hampton & Richmond
Ebbsfleet United2-0Hampton & Richmond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hampton & Richmond 1435 · Ebbsfleet United 1536

	Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Ebbsfleet United
Our model	22%	24%	55%
Market	21%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ebbsfleet United (rating 1435 vs 1536).
H2H favours Ebbsfleet United: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hampton & Richmond	Ebbsfleet United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.70

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +7’	4.20	3.70	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hampton & Richmond 1–0–5 Ebbsfleet United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	4-0 HT 3-0	Hampton & Richmond
30/08/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	3-2 HT 2-1	Ebbsfleet United
18/02/23 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	6-2 HT 2-1	Hampton & Richmond
08/11/22 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-2 HT 1-1	Ebbsfleet United
29/01/22 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	1-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
16/10/21 England FA Cup Qualification	Ebbsfleet United	2-0 HT 2-0	Hampton & Richmond

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
2	Dag & Red	10	6	1	3	10	7	19
3	Salisbury FC	10	5	3	2	18	7	18
4	Billericay Town	10	5	3	2	21	14	18
5	Weston Super Mare	10	5	2	3	18	10	17
6	Truro City	9	5	2	2	13	5	17
7	Dover	10	5	2	3	17	16	17
8	Dorking Wanderers	10	4	4	2	22	16	16
9	Farnham	9	5	1	3	14	12	16
10	Tonbridge Angels	10	4	2	4	19	11	14
11	Maidenhead Utd	10	3	4	3	12	11	13
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10	10	13
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13	14	13
14	Folkestone Invicta	9	3	3	3	15	11	12
15	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9	8	11
16	Horsham	9	2	5	2	9	10	11
17	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8	13	11
18	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16	19	10
19	Braintree Town	9	3	1	5	16	22	10
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8	15	10
21	Ebbsfleet United	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
23	Slough	9	1	0	8	9	23	3
24	Walton & Hersham	9	0	2	7	6	26	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hampton & Richmond	Ebbsfleet United
Slough	5-3 W	1-1 D
Salisbury FC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hampton & Richmond

LLLWDLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-5	9	4	L

Ebbsfleet United

WLWLWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
29/09	Slough England National League South	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
26/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
12/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
08/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/09	Walton & Hersham England National League South	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
25/04	Worthing England National League South	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
18/04	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
11/04	AFC Hornchurch England National League South	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
06/04	Dover England National League South	1-0	4-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ebbsfleet United win (55%). Probabilities: Hampton & Richmond 22%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 55%.

How many goals are expected in Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Hampton & Richmond 1.2 · Ebbsfleet United 1.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.