Football · England National League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Torquay vs Slough

Team pages: Torquay · Slough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Torquay2.74

Slough0.89

1X2

76% 15% 9%

Torquay Draw Slough

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Torquay 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLWWDL

Slough 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Torquay 4–1–1 Slough (6 last)

Slough1-5Torquay
Torquay4-2Slough
Torquay2-0Slough
Slough2-2Torquay
Torquay3-4Slough
Slough1-2Torquay

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torquay 1550 · Slough 1389

	Torquay	Draw	Slough
Our model	75%	16%	9%
Market	76%	15%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torquay (rating 1550 vs 1389).
H2H favours Torquay: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torquay	Slough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.25

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +16’	1.20	6.25	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torquay 4–1–1 Slough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 England National League South	Slough	1-5 HT 0-4	Torquay
06/09/25 England National League South	Torquay	4-2 HT 4-2	Slough
12/04/25 England National League South	Torquay	2-0 HT 1-0	Slough
21/01/25 England National League South	Slough	2-2 HT 0-1	Torquay
10/02/24 England National League South	Torquay	3-4 HT 1-1	Slough
26/08/23 England National League South	Slough	1-2 HT 1-0	Torquay

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	10	6	1	3	18	11	19
2	Dag & Red	10	6	1	3	10	7	19
3	Salisbury FC	10	5	3	2	18	7	18
4	Truro City	10	5	3	2	15	7	18
5	Billericay Town	10	5	3	2	21	14	18
6	Weston Super Mare	10	5	2	3	18	10	17
7	Farnham	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17	16	17
9	Dorking Wanderers	10	4	4	2	22	16	16
10	Tonbridge Angels	10	4	2	4	19	11	14
11	Maidenhead Utd	10	3	4	3	12	11	13
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10	10	13
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13	14	13
14	Ebbsfleet United	6	3	3	0	7	3	12
15	Folkestone Invicta	10	3	3	4	15	12	12
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9	8	11
17	Horsham	9	2	5	2	9	10	11
18	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8	13	11
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16	19	10
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8	15	10
21	Braintree Town	10	3	1	6	17	25	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11	24	8
23	Walton & Hersham	10	1	2	7	9	27	5
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10	24	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torquay	Slough
Folkestone Invicta	3-2 W	0-2 L
Farnham	0-2 L	0-1 L
Hampton & Richmond	1-1 D	3-5 L
Dag & Red	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torquay

DWDLDLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
12/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	2-2	6	8	D
08/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	4-0	2	9	W
05/09	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Farnham England National League South	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
29/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
22/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
18/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
15/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	1-0	2-1	2	9	W
08/08	Horsham England National League South	1-0	1-1	4	6	D

Slough

LLLLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/09	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
29/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
22/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	0-1	3-5	5	2	L
18/08	Farnham England National League South	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
15/08	Dover England National League South	0-3	3-5	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torquay vs Slough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torquay win (76%). Probabilities: Torquay 76%, draw 15%, Slough 9%.

How many goals are expected in Torquay vs Slough?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Torquay 2.74 · Slough 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Torquay vs Slough?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.