Football · England National League South · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Totton vs Slough

Team pages: AFC Totton · Slough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

AFC Totton2.52

Slough1.14

1X2

66% 20% 14%

AFC Totton Draw Slough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Totton 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLDWL

Slough 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

AFC Totton 0–1–1 Slough (2 last)

AFC Totton1-1Slough
Slough3-2AFC Totton

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Totton 1488 · Slough 1387

	AFC Totton	Draw	Slough
Our model	67%	19%	15%
Market	66%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Totton (rating 1488 vs 1387).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Totton	Slough
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1.4 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.5 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.8	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.33

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +5’	1.36	4.33	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Totton 0–1–1 Slough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/26 England National League South	AFC Totton	1-1 HT 1-0	Slough
25/11/25 England National League South	Slough	3-2 HT 0-2	AFC Totton

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	8	6	1	1	16	7	19
2	Dag & Red	8	5	1	2	9	6	16
3	Weston Super Mare	8	4	2	2	15	7	14
4	Tonbridge Angels	8	4	1	3	17	8	13
5	Truro City	6	4	1	1	10	2	13
6	Folkestone Invicta	7	3	3	1	14	7	12
7	Dorking Wanderers	8	3	3	2	16	11	12
8	Torquay	8	3	3	2	11	9	12
9	Salisbury FC	7	3	2	2	14	6	11
10	Billericay Town	7	3	2	2	13	10	11
11	Dover	8	3	2	3	14	16	11
12	Horsham	7	2	4	1	8	6	10
13	Farnham	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
14	AFC Totton	7	3	1	3	8	12	10
15	Farnborough	7	3	1	3	6	10	10
16	Chelmsford	7	1	6	0	8	7	9
17	Hemel Hempstead	8	2	3	3	7	9	9
18	Maidenhead Utd	8	2	3	3	6	9	9
19	Chesham	8	2	1	5	12	14	7
20	Braintree Town	6	2	1	3	9	14	7
21	Hampton & Richmond	8	2	1	5	10	22	7
22	Ebbsfleet United	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
23	Slough	7	0	0	7	8	21	0
24	Walton & Hersham	7	0	0	7	3	23	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Totton	Slough
Hampton & Richmond	4-1 W	3-5 L
Farnham	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Totton (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Totton

WWLWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
05/09	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	3-0	4-1	7	7	W
31/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
29/08	Chesham England National League South	0-3	0-4	6	4	L
18/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Billericay Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
08/08	Farnham England National League South	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/04	Farnborough England National League South	1-3	1-6	5	5	L
18/04	Eastbourne Borough England National League South	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
14/04	Bath City England National League South	2-1	2-1	9	5	W

Slough

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-2	1-5	4	3	L
05/09	Braintree Town England National League South	1-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-1	0	6	L
29/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
22/08	Hampton & Richmond England National League South	0-1	3-5	5	2	L
18/08	Farnham England National League South	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
15/08	Dover England National League South	0-3	3-5	7	2	L
25/04	Dag & Red England National League South	2-2	3-2	4	5	W
18/04	Enfield Town England National League South	1-0	2-5	5	2	L
11/04	Torquay England National League South	0-4	1-5	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Totton vs Slough?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Totton win (66%). Probabilities: AFC Totton 66%, draw 20%, Slough 14%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Totton vs Slough?

The model expects 3.66 goals (AFC Totton 2.52 · Slough 1.14), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Totton vs Slough?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.