Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Weston Super Mare vs Hampton & Richmond
Team pages: Weston Super Mare · Hampton & Richmond
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Weston Super Mare1.52
Hampton & Richmond0.76
1X2
Weston Super Mare
Draw
Hampton & Richmond
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Weston Super Mare
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Hampton & Richmond
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Weston Super Mare
3–2–1
Hampton & Richmond
(6 last)
- Weston Super Mare2-0Hampton & Richmond
- Hampton & Richmond0-1Weston Super Mare
- Weston Super Mare3-1Hampton & Richmond
- Hampton & Richmond0-0Weston Super Mare
- Hampton & Richmond2-1Weston Super Mare
- Weston Super Mare1-1Hampton & Richmond
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weston Super Mare 1510 · Hampton & Richmond 1548
| Weston Super Mare | Draw | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Weston Super Mare: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Weston Super Mare | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Weston Super Mare 3–2–1 Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England National League South | Weston Super Mare | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hampton & Richmond |
| 18/10/25 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Weston Super Mare |
| 22/02/25 England National League South | Weston Super Mare | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hampton & Richmond |
| 10/12/24 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Weston Super Mare |
| 23/12/23 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Weston Super Mare |
| 09/09/23 England National League South | Weston Super Mare | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hampton & Richmond |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weston Super Mare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chesham England National League South |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Gloucester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Exeter UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Taunton Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Torquay UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Clevedon Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Bristol Rovers UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Cullompton Rangers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/04 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Raynes Park UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Basingstoke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hanworth Villa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Enfield Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weston Super Mare vs Hampton & Richmond?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Weston Super Mare win (55%). Probabilities: Weston Super Mare 55%, draw 27%, Hampton & Richmond 18%.
How many goals are expected in Weston Super Mare vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Weston Super Mare 1.52 · Hampton & Richmond 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Weston Super Mare vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.