Prediction: Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford

Team pages: Folkestone Invicta · Chelmsford

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Folkestone Invicta1.29
Chelmsford1.31
1X2
36% 28% 37%
Folkestone Invicta Draw Chelmsford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Folkestone Invicta 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLWLLWWD
Chelmsford 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWLLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Folkestone Invicta 1510 · Chelmsford 1501
Folkestone InvictaDrawChelmsford
Our model35%29%36%
Market36%27%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Folkestone InvictaChelmsford
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.31.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.30.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.31.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 02.5 / 0

Standings · England National League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dag & Red 3300 519
2 Weston Super Mare 3210 607
3 Tonbridge Angels 3201 626
4 AFC Totton 3201 236
5 Horsham 3120 315
6 Torquay 3120 325
7 Salisbury FC 2110 504
8 Folkestone Invicta 2110 624
9 Maidstone Utd 3111 534
10 Dorking Wanderers 3111 314
11 Truro City 2110 204
12 Hemel Hempstead 3111 324
13 Maidenhead Utd 3111 124
14 Billericay Town 2101 213
15 Dover 3102 563
16 Farnborough 2101 233
16 Farnham 3102 233
18 Braintree Town 2101 363
19 Chelmsford 2020 112
20 Ebbsfleet United 0000 000
21 Slough 2002 360
22 Chesham 2002 260
23 Walton & Hersham 3003 1100
24 Hampton & Richmond 3003 0100

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Folkestone Invicta

WLDLWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Maidstone Utd
England National League South
0-0 1-1 33 D
08/08 Walton & Hersham
England National League South
3-0 5-1 85 W
01/08 Welling
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
28/07 Sutton Utd
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-2 23 L
25/07 Sholing
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-1 L
18/07 Charlton XI
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 W
14/07 Cray Wanderers
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-3 L
11/07 Dartford
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
07/07 Aveley
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-3 L
04/07 Croydon Athletic
Club Friendly List
2-1 5-2 W

Chelmsford

DDWLWWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Truro City
England National League South
0-0 0-0 104 D
08/08 Hemel Hempstead
England National League South
1-0 1-1 01 D
01/08 Spalding United
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-1 L
25/07 Witham Town
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
14/07 Canvey Island
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 30 W
11/07 Bishop's Stortford
UK Friendlies
1-1 3-1 50 W
25/04 Eastbourne Borough
England National League South
1-3 1-3 74 L
18/04 Chesham
England National League South
0-0 2-0 41 W
14/04 AFC Hornchurch
England National League South
2-1 3-3 66 D
11/04 Maidenhead Utd
England National League South
0-0 1-1 94 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelmsford win (37%). Probabilities: Folkestone Invicta 36%, draw 28%, Chelmsford 37%.

How many goals are expected in Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Folkestone Invicta 1.29 · Chelmsford 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.