Football · England National League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Maidenhead Utd vs Farnborough
Team pages: Maidenhead Utd · Farnborough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Maidenhead Utd1.62
Farnborough0.91
1X2
Maidenhead Utd
Draw
Farnborough
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maidenhead Utd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Farnborough
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maidenhead Utd
0–3–3
Farnborough
(6 last)
- Maidenhead Utd2-2Farnborough
- Farnborough1-0Maidenhead Utd
- Farnborough1-1Maidenhead Utd
- Farnborough1-0Maidenhead Utd
- Farnborough1-1Maidenhead Utd
- Farnborough1-0Maidenhead Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maidenhead Utd 1456 · Farnborough 1539
| Maidenhead Utd | Draw | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Farnborough (rating 1456 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Farnborough: 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maidenhead Utd | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.3 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidenhead Utd 0–3–3 Farnborough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England National League South | Maidenhead Utd | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Farnborough |
| 25/10/25 England National League South | Farnborough | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 03/08/24 Club Friendly List | Farnborough | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 30/07/22 Club Friendly List | Farnborough | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 31/07/21 Club Friendly List | Farnborough | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 12/01/15 England FA Trophy | Farnborough | 1-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dag & Red | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Weston Super Mare | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Horsham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Torquay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Maidstone Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Maidenhead Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Dover | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Farnham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maidenhead Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Truro City England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wimborne Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/07 | Wolverhampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton U23 Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Holyport Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Milton Keynes Dons UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Farnborough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Bath City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carshalton Ath Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maidenhead Utd vs Farnborough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maidenhead Utd win (54%). Probabilities: Maidenhead Utd 54%, draw 26%, Farnborough 21%.
How many goals are expected in Maidenhead Utd vs Farnborough?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Maidenhead Utd 1.62 · Farnborough 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maidenhead Utd vs Farnborough?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.